MX23RW : Monday, May 6 18:44:54| >> :120:9134:9134:
Union Berlin logo
Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 24, 2023 at 8pm UK
Helsingin olympiastadion
Napoli logo

Union Berlin
0 - 1
Napoli


Trimmel (10'), Gosens (51'), Haberer (53')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Raspadori (65')
Rrahmani (17')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Union Berlin and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Union Berlin 1-2 Napoli

Union Berlin desperately need a positive result, but we are finding it difficult to back them to avoid another defeat here. Napoli are without their star player, but the Italian outfit are still full of quality, and we are expecting them to navigate their way to an important win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 53.22%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 23.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.77%) and 0-2 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 1-0 (6.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Napoli in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Napoli.

Result
Union BerlinDrawNapoli
23.24% (0.009999999999998 0.01) 23.54% (0.0010000000000012 0) 53.22% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 54.51%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.77% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)46.23%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.48% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)68.52%
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.93% (0.0049999999999955 0)34.07% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.25% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)70.75% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.68% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)17.32% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.31% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)47.68% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 23.24%
    Napoli 53.21%
    Draw 23.54%
Union BerlinDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 6.35% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 6% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 3.42% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 2.15% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.89% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.23% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 23.24%
1-1 @ 11.14% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.9%
2-2 @ 5.26%
3-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.54%
0-1 @ 10.34%
1-2 @ 9.77% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 9.07% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 5.71% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 5.3% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 3.07%
1-4 @ 2.5% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-4 @ 2.32% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-4 @ 1.35%
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 53.21%

How you voted: Union Berlin vs Napoli

Union Berlin
11.4%
Draw
11.4%
Napoli
77.2%
184
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal36265588286083
2Manchester CityMan City35257387335482
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs351861169581160
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle351751378562256
7Chelsea351591170591154
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd34166125251154
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham361310135670-1449
10Bournemouth36139145263-1148
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton351211125357-447
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36137164960-1146
13Fulham36128165155-444
14Crystal Palace351010154557-1240
15Everton36129153849-1137
16Brentford3699185260-836
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3689194563-1829
18Luton TownLuton3668224978-2926
19Burnley3659223974-3524
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd36372635100-6516


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!