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Serie A | Gameweek 28
Mar 8, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Torino logo

Napoli
1 - 1
Torino

Kvaratskhelia (61')
Osimhen (36'), Jesus (39')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sanabria (64')
Zapata (31'), Buongiorno (45+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Torino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Napoli 2-1 Juventus
Sunday, March 3 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Torino 0-0 Fiorentina
Saturday, March 2 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Napoli 2-0 Torino

While there is no doubt Napoli have ridden their luck at times since Calzona took charge, the new boss is picking up results, and they should go into that clash in Barcelona full of confidence with a third straight victory here. Torino's feeble attack suggests they may struggle to threaten this Napoli side much, as their season is faltering just as their supporters were starting to get excited about a potential European push. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 49.54%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Torino had a probability of 24.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.35%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a Torino win it was 0-1 (8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
NapoliDrawTorino
49.54% (0.011000000000003 0.01) 25.74%24.72% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 49.35% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.17% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)53.83% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.71% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)75.29% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.24% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)21.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.06%54.94% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.07% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)36.92% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.29% (-0.014999999999997 -0.01)73.71% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Napoli 49.54%
    Torino 24.72%
    Draw 25.73%
NapoliDrawTorino
1-0 @ 12.25% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.35% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-1 @ 9.31%
3-0 @ 4.75% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 4.73%
3-2 @ 2.36% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.81% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.81%
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 49.54%
1-1 @ 12.2%
0-0 @ 8.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 4.64% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 25.73%
0-1 @ 8% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 6.08% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-2 @ 3.99% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 2.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.54% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.32% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 24.72%

How you voted: Napoli vs Torino

Napoli
81.3%
Draw
12.0%
Torino
6.6%
166
Head to Head
Jan 7, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 19
Torino
3-0
Napoli
Sanabria (43'), Vlasic (52'), Buongiorno (66')

Zielinski (37'), Jesus (61')
Mazzocchi (50')
Mar 19, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 27
Torino
0-4
Napoli
Osimhen (9', 51'), Kvaratskhelia (35' pen.), Ndombele (68')
Oct 1, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 8
Napoli
3-1
Torino
Zambo Anguissa (6', 12'), Kvaratskhelia (37')
Sanabria (44')
May 7, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 36
Torino
0-1
Napoli

Vojvoda (55'), Singo (79')
Fabian (73')
Mertens (53'), Lozano (56'), Elmas (90+6')
Oct 17, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 8
Napoli
1-0
Torino
Osimhen (81')
Koulibaly (79'), Zambo Anguissa (85')

Rodriguez (37'), Linetty (55'), Pobega (75'), Milinkovic-Savic (90+7')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Fiorentina1594228111731
5Lazio1610153023731
6Juventus16610026121428
7AC Milan167542516926
8Bologna156722118325
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa163761324-1116
14Lecce164481027-1716
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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