MX23RW : Monday, January 20 23:12:56| >> :120:5546:5546:
Napoli logo
Champions League | Group Stage
Dec 12, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Braga

Napoli
2 - 0
Braga

Saatci (9' og.), Osimhen (33')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Banza (19'), Mendes (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Napoli and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vizela 1-3 Braga
Friday, December 8 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Napoli 2-2 Braga

Napoli are a difficult team to back at the moment, even on home soil. It would be a shock to see Braga secure the result that they need in order to finish second, but we are expecting the visitors to claim a point, which would guarantee their spot in the Europa League knockout round playoffs. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 42.12%. A win for Braga had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.9%) and 2-0 (5.27%). The likeliest Braga win was 1-2 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
NapoliDrawBraga
42.12% (0.267 0.27) 22.53% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 35.35% (-0.283 -0.28)
Both teams to score 66.84% (-0.125 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.23% (-0.13800000000001 -0.14)33.77% (0.137 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.4% (-0.156 -0.16)55.6% (0.154 0.15)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.25% (0.052000000000007 0.05)16.74% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.33% (0.090000000000003 0.09)46.67% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.28% (-0.2 -0.2)19.72% (0.2 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.27% (-0.325 -0.33)51.73% (0.32400000000001 0.32)
Score Analysis
    Napoli 42.12%
    Braga 35.35%
    Draw 22.53%
NapoliDrawBraga
2-1 @ 8.56% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
1-0 @ 5.9% (0.052 0.05)
2-0 @ 5.27% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
3-1 @ 5.1% (0.031 0.03)
3-2 @ 4.14% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.14% (0.038 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.28% (0.017 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.4% (0.019 0.02)
4-3 @ 1% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 42.12%
1-1 @ 9.58% (0.025 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.95% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.3% (0.023 0.02)
3-3 @ 2.24% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 22.53%
1-2 @ 7.78% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-1 @ 5.36% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 4.35% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.21% (-0.042000000000001 -0.04)
2-3 @ 3.76% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.36% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.71% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.53% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-4 @ 0.96% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-4 @ 0.91% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 35.35%

How you voted: Napoli vs Braga

Napoli
64.6%
Draw
20.0%
Braga
15.4%
130
Head to Head
Sep 20, 2023 8pm
Group Stage
Braga
1-2
Napoli
Bruma (84')
Djalo (44'), Fonte (55'), Borja (66')
Di Lorenzo (45+1'), Niakate (88' og.)
Zambo Anguissa (19'), Osimhen (41'), Politano (56'), Raspadori (79'), Olivera (86'), Jesus (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool21155150203050
2Arsenal22128243212244
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest22135433221144
4Chelsea22117444271740
5Manchester CityMan City22115644291538
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle22115638261238
7Bournemouth22107536261037
8Aston Villa2210663334-136
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2281043530534
10Fulham228953430433
11Brentford2284104039128
12Crystal Palace226972528-327
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2275102732-526
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2275102743-1626
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs22731245351024
16Everton214891828-1020
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2244143251-1916
18Ipswich TownIpswich2237122043-2316
19Leicester CityLeicester2235142348-2514
20Southampton2213181550-356


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!