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Champions League
Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 11, 2023 at 5pm UK
Vilniaus LFF stadionas

Zalgiris
0 - 0
Struga


Gorobsov (33')
FT

Ibraimi (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between FK Zalgiris and Struga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FK Zalgiris

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Last Game: Zalgiris 1-2 Slovan Bratislava
Thursday, November 3 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
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Struga

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Last Game: Struga 1-4 FK Liepaja
Thursday, July 15 at 4pm in Europa Conference League
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We said: FK Zalgiris 2-0 Struga

 Zalgiris are the much more experienced side in Europe, having managed to reach the third round of qualifying last season, comfortably managing to dispatch of Swedish side Malmo in the process. The Lithuanian side's experience, coupled with Struga's recent dip in form, indicates that the hosts should be able to record a relatively straightforward victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FK Zalgiris win with a probability of 67.64%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Struga had a probability of 12.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a FK Zalgiris win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.36%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.47%), while for a Struga win it was 0-1 (4.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
FK ZalgirisDrawStruga
67.64% (0.0040000000000049 0) 20.1% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 12.25% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Both teams to score 43.71% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.57% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)49.43% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.53% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)71.47% (0.0019999999999953 0)
FK Zalgiris Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.35%13.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.17%40.83%
Struga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.62% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)49.38% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.78% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)84.22% (0.0039999999999907 0)
Score Analysis
    FK Zalgiris 67.63%
    Struga 12.25%
    Draw 20.1%
FK ZalgirisDrawStruga
1-0 @ 13.42% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 13.36%
2-1 @ 9.43% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-0 @ 8.87% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 6.26%
4-0 @ 4.42% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 3.12%
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.76%
5-1 @ 1.24%
4-2 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 67.63%
1-1 @ 9.47% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 6.74%
2-2 @ 3.33% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 20.1%
0-1 @ 4.76%
1-2 @ 3.34% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 1.68%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 12.25%

How you voted: Zalgiris vs Struga

FK Zalgiris
87.5%
Draw
12.5%
Struga
0.0%
16
rhs 2.0
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