Eredivisie | Gameweek 11
Nov 4, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Polman Stadion
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: PSV 5-2 Ajax Sunday, October 29 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
We said: Heracles 1-3 PSV Eindhoven
PSV have flown out of the blocks to start the season and are seemingly unstoppable at the moment. It is hard to envisage any other outcome than a win for the away side here, and we fancy them to live up to expectations at the sound of the final whistle.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 53.25% . A win for Heracles had a probability of 24.6% and a draw had a probability of 22.1% .
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.04%) and 0-2 (7.75%) . The likeliest Heracles win was 2-1 (6.27%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%) . The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result Heracles Draw PSV Eindhoven 24.6% ( 0.13) 22.14% ( 0.04) 53.25% ( -0.16)
Both teams to score 60.95% ( 0.02)
61.54% ( -0.03) 38.46% ( 0.04)
39.25% ( -0.04) 60.75% ( 0.04)
71.31% ( 0.08) 28.69% ( -0.08)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 35.49% ( 0.1) 64.51% ( -0.1)
85.47% ( -0.06) 14.53% ( 0.07)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 57.44% ( -0.13) 42.56% ( 0.13)
Heracles 24.6%
PSV Eindhoven 53.25%
Draw 22.14%
Heracles Draw PSV Eindhoven 2-1 @ 6.27% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 3.25% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.61% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.4% Total : 24.6% 1-1 @ 10.04% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.62% ( 0) Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.14% 1-2 @ 9.68% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.04% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.75% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 6.23% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 4.99% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 3.89% ( -0) 1-4 @ 3% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 2.41% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.88% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.31% Total : 53.25%
How you voted: Heracles vs PSV
Heracles
Draw
PSV Eindhoven
30
rhs 2.0
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