MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 13:47:17| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 8
Oct 8, 2023 at 3.45pm UK
Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
PSV

Sparta
0 - 4
PSV


de Guzman (45+1'), Brym (45+1'), Neghli (54')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Tillman (51'), Bakayoko (59'), Vertessen (80'), de Jong (88')
Dest (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Sparta Rotterdam and PSV Eindhoven, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Excelsior 2-1 Sparta
Sunday, October 1 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: PSV 2-2 Sevilla
Tuesday, October 3 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Sparta Rotterdam 0-2 PSV Eindhoven

PSV Eindhoven are unbeaten in their last 11 matches against Sparta Rotterdam, and they have made a very promising start to the campaign, winning their opening seven Eredivisie games. As such, the visitors should have no problem securing a relatively comfortable victory this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 57.79%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 20.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.93%) and 0-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 1-0 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
Sparta RotterdamDrawPSV Eindhoven
20.15% (0.348 0.35) 22.06% (0.352 0.35) 57.79% (-0.693 -0.69)
Both teams to score 55.03% (-0.595 -0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.55% (-1.069 -1.07)43.45% (1.073 1.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.16% (-1.058 -1.06)65.84% (1.064 1.06)
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.56% (-0.259 -0.26)35.44% (0.265 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.8% (-0.272 -0.27)72.2% (0.27699999999999 0.28)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.23% (-0.572 -0.57)14.77% (0.579 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.98% (-1.113 -1.11)43.02% (1.118 1.12)
Score Analysis
    Sparta Rotterdam 20.15%
    PSV Eindhoven 57.78%
    Draw 22.06%
Sparta RotterdamDrawPSV Eindhoven
1-0 @ 5.43% (0.214 0.21)
2-1 @ 5.39% (0.066 0.07)
2-0 @ 2.82% (0.092 0.09)
3-1 @ 1.86% (0.01 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.78% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-0 @ 0.97% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 20.15%
1-1 @ 10.38% (0.2 0.2)
0-0 @ 5.23% (0.243 0.24)
2-2 @ 5.15% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.06%
0-1 @ 10.01% (0.264 0.26)
1-2 @ 9.93% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 9.57% (0.058 0.06)
1-3 @ 6.33% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-3 @ 6.1% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-3 @ 3.28% (-0.097 -0.1)
1-4 @ 3.03% (-0.131 -0.13)
0-4 @ 2.92% (-0.105 -0.11)
2-4 @ 1.57% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-5 @ 1.16% (-0.075 -0.08)
0-5 @ 1.12% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 57.78%

How you voted: Sparta vs PSV

Sparta Rotterdam
15.8%
Draw
0.0%
PSV Eindhoven
84.2%
19
Head to Head
May 6, 2023 5.45pm
Gameweek 31
Sparta
0-1
PSV
El Ghazi (74')
Jan 7, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 15
PSV
0-0
Sparta
Feb 27, 2022 1.30pm
Gameweek 22
Sparta
1-2
PSV
Thy (32')
de Kamps (39'), van Crooij (62'), Engels (63'), Beugelsdijk (90+5'), Meijers (90+6')
Verschueren (54')
Junior (59'), Doan (67')
Max (20'), Teze (38'), Sangare (38')
Oct 3, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 8
PSV
2-1
Sparta
Sangare (82'), Thomas (86')
Sangare (45+1')
Thy (90')
Abels (65'), Okoye (79')
Jan 16, 2021 5.45pm
Gameweek 17
Sparta
3-5
PSV
Smeets (4'), Gravenberch (75'), Kharchouch (87' pen.)
Beugelsdijk (45+2')
Junior (24'), Malen (47', 90+3'), Madueke (49'), Max (71')
Thomas (37')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1211014093133
2FC UtrechtUtrecht119112011928
3Ajax1182125111426
4Feyenoord1274128131525
5FC Twente1264224111322
6AZ AlkmaarAZ125252314917
7Fortuna SittardSittard125251316-317
8NECNijmegen125161910916
9Willem II124351312115
10Go Ahead Eagles124351520-515
11NAC BredaNAC Breda125071221-915
12Heerenveen124261323-1014
13Groningen123361219-712
14PEC Zwolle123361422-812
15Heracles123361223-1112
16Sparta RotterdamSparta122551218-611
17Almere CityAlmere City12138627-216
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1211101031-214


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!