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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 80.47%. A draw had a probability of 12.4% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 7.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (8.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.72%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 1-2 (2.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for PSV Eindhoven in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for PSV Eindhoven.
Result | ||
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
80.47% ( -0) | 12.4% | 7.13% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 51.01% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.98% ( -0) | 29.02% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
50% ( -0) | 49.99% ( -0) |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.47% ( -0) | 5.53% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
78.47% | 21.53% ( -0) |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54% ( -0) | 46% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.28% ( -0) | 81.72% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
2-0 @ 10.65% 3-0 @ 10.28% 2-1 @ 8.28% 3-1 @ 7.99% 4-0 @ 7.45% 1-0 @ 7.36% ( -0) 4-1 @ 5.78% 5-0 @ 4.31% 5-1 @ 3.35% 3-2 @ 3.1% 4-2 @ 2.25% 6-0 @ 2.08% 6-1 @ 1.62% 5-2 @ 1.3% Other @ 4.66% Total : 80.45% | 1-1 @ 5.72% 2-2 @ 3.21% 0-0 @ 2.54% Other @ 0.93% Total : 12.4% | 1-2 @ 2.22% 0-1 @ 1.97% Other @ 2.94% Total : 7.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 19 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 62 | 18 | 44 | 46 |
2 | Ajax | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 41 | 17 | 24 | 45 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 40 |
4 | Feyenoord | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
5 | FC Twente | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 39 | 25 | 14 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 34 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 25 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 19 | 8 | 1 | 10 | 23 | 32 | -9 | 25 |
10 | Heerenveen | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 24 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 23 |
12 | Willem II | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 23 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 20 |
14 | Heracles | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 18 |
15 | Groningen | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 17 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 19 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 39 | -29 | 10 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 19 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 44 | -24 | 8 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |