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Bundesliga
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 6
Sep 30, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Bayern logo

RB Leipzig
2 - 2
Bayern

Openda (20'), Lukeba (26')
Simakan (54'), Lukeba (64')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Kane (57' pen.), Sane (70')
Kane (38'), Ulreich (44'), Upamecano (51'), Musiala (72'), Tel (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Wiesbaden 2-3 RB Leipzig
Wednesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Preussen Munster 0-4 Bayern
Tuesday, September 26 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal

We said: RB Leipzig 2-2 Bayern Munich

 Buoyed by last month's DFL-Supercup triumph, RB Leipzig will be confident of picking up another positive result against Bayern Munich, although the hosts will struggle to claim all three points as the free-scoring Bavarians aim to make amends. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 47.91%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 28.74% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.14%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 2-1 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawBayern Munich
28.74% (-0.117 -0.12) 23.35% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 47.91% (0.106 0.11)
Both teams to score 60.53% (-0.121 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.29% (-0.127 -0.13)40.71% (0.125 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.91% (-0.13 -0.13)63.09% (0.129 0.13)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.13% (-0.142 -0.14)26.86% (0.14 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.82% (-0.188 -0.19)62.17% (0.187 0.19)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.77% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)17.23% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.47% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)47.53% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 28.74%
    Bayern Munich 47.91%
    Draw 23.34%
RB LeipzigDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 7.03% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 6.08% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 4% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.08% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.71% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.75% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.01% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 28.74%
1-1 @ 10.69% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.18% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.63% (0.026 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.59% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.34%
1-2 @ 9.41% (0.012 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.14% (0.043999999999999 0.04)
0-2 @ 7.16% (0.037 0.04)
1-3 @ 5.51% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 4.2% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.62% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.42% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-4 @ 1.84% (0.008 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.59% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 47.91%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Bayern

RB Leipzig
20.0%
Draw
35.7%
Bayern Munich
44.3%
70
Head to Head
Aug 12, 2023 7.45pm
Final
Bayern
0-3
RB Leipzig

Pavard (13'), Upamecano (34')
Olmo (3', 44', 68')
Olmo (71')
> Preview
May 20, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 33
Bayern
1-3
RB Leipzig
Gnabry (25')
Pavard (72')
Laimer (64'), Nkunku (76' pen.), Szoboszlai (86' pen.)
Gvardiol (68')
> Preview
Jan 20, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 16
RB Leipzig
1-1
Bayern
Halstenberg (52')
Maxim Choupo-Moting (37')
> Preview
Jul 30, 2022 7.30pm
Final
RB Leipzig
3-5
Bayern
Halstenberg (59'), Nkunku (77' pen.), Olmo (89')
Simakan (36'), Klostermann (90+2')
Musiala (14'), Mane (31'), Pavard (45'), Gnabry (66'), Sane (90+8')
Kimmich (64'), Hernandez (73'), Pavard (76'), Sane (87'), Neuer (90+7')
> Preview
Feb 5, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 21
Bayern
3-2
RB Leipzig
Muller (12'), Lewandowski (44'), Gvardiol (58' og.)
Hernandez (22')
Silva (27'), Nkunku (53')
Laimer (45+1'), Nkunku (63'), Henrichs (74')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1595137211632
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Borussia DortmundDortmund157442822625
7Werder Bremen157442625125
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
9Freiburg157352124-324
10Stuttgart156542925423
11Wolfsburg156363228421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1531111833-1510
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1513111335-226
> Bundesliga Full Table


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