MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 14:19:04| >> :600:386100:386100:
Real Sociedad logo
Champions League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 5, 2024 at 8pm UK
Reale Arena
PSG logo

Real Sociedad
1 - 2
PSG

Merino (89')
Kubo (42'), Zubeldia (54')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mbappe (15', 56')
Mendes (28'), Hakimi (42'), Dembele (45+4')

The Match

Match Report

Kylian Mbappe scores twice as Paris Saint-Germain advance to the Champions League quarter-finals courtesy of a 4-1 aggregate win over Real Sociedad.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Real Sociedad and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 46.02%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 30.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.15%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 2-1 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match.

Result
Real SociedadDrawParis Saint-Germain
30.27% (-2.271 -2.27) 23.71% (-0.528 -0.53) 46.02% (2.8 2.8)
Both teams to score 60.28% (0.755 0.76)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.52% (1.47 1.47)41.47% (-1.47 -1.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.12% (1.473 1.47)63.87% (-1.473 -1.47)
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.76% (-0.69499999999999 -0.69)26.24% (0.695 0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.65% (-0.941 -0.94)61.34% (0.943 0.94)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.73% (1.777 1.78)18.27% (-1.775 -1.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.67% (2.934 2.93)49.32% (-2.933 -2.93)
Score Analysis
    Real Sociedad 30.27%
    Paris Saint-Germain 46.02%
    Draw 23.7%
Real SociedadDrawParis Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 7.29% (-0.37 -0.37)
1-0 @ 6.41% (-0.574 -0.57)
2-0 @ 4.29% (-0.478 -0.48)
3-1 @ 3.25% (-0.234 -0.23)
3-2 @ 2.77% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.91% (-0.256 -0.26)
4-1 @ 1.09% (-0.102 -0.1)
4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 30.27%
1-1 @ 10.9% (-0.33 -0.33)
2-2 @ 6.2% (0.04 0.04)
0-0 @ 4.79% (-0.326 -0.33)
3-3 @ 1.57% (0.066 0.07)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.7%
1-2 @ 9.27% (0.242 0.24)
0-1 @ 8.15% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
0-2 @ 6.93% (0.314 0.31)
1-3 @ 5.25% (0.416 0.42)
0-3 @ 3.93% (0.382 0.38)
2-3 @ 3.51% (0.213 0.21)
1-4 @ 2.23% (0.289 0.29)
0-4 @ 1.67% (0.244 0.24)
2-4 @ 1.49% (0.167 0.17)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 46.02%

How you voted: Real Sociedad vs PSG

Real Sociedad
14.4%
Draw
12.7%
Paris Saint-Germain
72.9%
362
Head to Head
Feb 14, 2024 8pm
Round of 16 1st Leg
PSG
2-0
Real Sociedad
Mbappe (58'), Barcola (70')

Le Normand (36'), Traore (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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