Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Dortmund 2-3 RB Leipzig
Saturday, December 9 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, December 9 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: PSG 2-1 Nantes
Saturday, December 9 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Saturday, December 9 at 8pm in Ligue 1
We said: Borussia Dortmund 1-2 Paris Saint-Germain
Clean sheet-less away from home in the Champions League for over three years, PSG will likely have to fight fire with fire once again if they are to keep their dreams of a first top-level European crown alive, but Enrique has the resources at his disposal to do so. While PSG could take a leaf out of Dortmund's defensive playbook in Group H, the hosts' recent domestic plight and plethora of absentees has us siding with Les Parisiens to ensure a path to the last 16, with a first-placed finish to boot. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 46.25%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 32.83% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.73%) and 2-3 (4.99%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
32.83% ( -1.09) | 20.93% ( 0.07) | 46.25% ( 1.03) |
| Both teams to score 72.25% ( -0.74) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
