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Champions League header

Champions League
PSG logo
Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 28, 2023 at 8pm UK
Parc des Princes
Newcastle logo

PSG
1 - 1
Newcastle

Mbappe (90+8' pen.)
Ugarte (36'), Kang-in (54'), Dembele (58'), Skriniar (60'), Donnarumma (72'), Ramos (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Isak (24')
Joelinton (22'), Almiron (83'), Pope (90+2')

The Match

Match Report

Kylian Mbappe's injury-time penalty denies Newcastle United a famous win over Paris Saint-Germain, who rescue a 1-1 draw in Champions League Group F.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: PSG 5-2 Monaco
Friday, November 24 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Newcastle United

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Newcastle 4-1 Chelsea
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 54.99%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 23.5% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.74%) and 1-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-2 (6.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawNewcastle United
54.99% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 21.52% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 23.5% (-0.02 -0.02)
Both teams to score 61.87% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.33% (-0.055 -0.05)36.66% (0.055 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.18% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)58.82% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.63% (-0.012 -0.01)13.37% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.72% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)40.28% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.42% (-0.045999999999992 -0.05)28.58% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.62% (-0.058 -0.06)64.38% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 54.99%
    Newcastle United 23.5%
    Draw 21.52%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawNewcastle United
2-1 @ 9.69% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 7.74% (0.012 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.69% (0.017 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.5% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 5.19% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 4.07% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 2.61% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-2 @ 2.05% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 1.32% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 1.05%
Other @ 3.83%
Total : 54.99%
1-1 @ 9.63% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.07% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.82% (0.01 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.7% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 21.52%
1-2 @ 6.03% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-1 @ 4.79% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 3%
2-3 @ 2.53% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 2.52% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.25% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 23.5%

How you voted: PSG vs Newcastle

Paris Saint-Germain
72.4%
Draw
14.7%
Newcastle United
12.9%
232
Head to Head
Oct 4, 2023 8pm
Group Stage
Newcastle
4-1
PSG
Almiron (17'), Burn (39'), Longstaff (50'), Schar (90+1')
Guimaraes (45+7'), Gordon (70'), Pope (87')
Hernandez (56')
Hernandez (38'), Hakimi (43'), Dembele (67'), Zaire-Emery (81')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal36265588286083
2Manchester CityMan City35257387335482
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs351861169581160
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle351751378562256
7Chelsea351591170591154
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd34166125251154
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham361310135670-1449
10Bournemouth36139145263-1148
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton351211125357-447
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36137164960-1146
13Fulham36128165155-444
14Crystal Palace351010154557-1240
15Everton36129153849-1137
16Brentford3699185260-836
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3689194563-1829
18Luton TownLuton3668224978-2926
19Burnley3659223974-3524
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd36372635100-6516
> Premier League Full Table


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