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Serie A | Gameweek 8
Oct 8, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Fiorentina logo

Napoli
1 - 3
Fiorentina

Osimhen (45+5' pen.)
Simeone (90+1'), Cajuste (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Brekalo (7'), Bonaventura (63'), Gonzalez (90+3')
Terracciano (45+4'), Martinez (69'), Bonaventura (70'), Ranieri (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Napoli 2-3 Real Madrid
Tuesday, October 3 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-2 Ferencvaros
Thursday, October 5 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Napoli 2-2 Fiorentina

With both teams scoring freely at the moment, goals are surely guaranteed at Stadio Maradona on Sunday evening. Napoli can certainly expect to capitalise on Fiorentina's defensive vulnerabilities, but they may not be able to keep the back door fastened shut. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 44.93%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 31.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.34%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result
NapoliDrawFiorentina
44.93% (-1.916 -1.92) 23.29% (0.219 0.22) 31.78% (1.696 1.7)
Both teams to score 62.61% (0.144 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.23% (-0.21 -0.21)38.77% (0.208 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.92% (-0.222 -0.22)61.07% (0.221 0.22)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.36% (-0.82600000000001 -0.83)17.64% (0.825 0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.76% (-1.451 -1.45)48.24% (1.449 1.45)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.02% (0.92800000000001 0.93)23.98% (-0.929 -0.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.77% (1.308 1.31)58.22% (-1.309 -1.31)
Score Analysis
    Napoli 44.93%
    Fiorentina 31.78%
    Draw 23.28%
NapoliDrawFiorentina
2-1 @ 9.09% (-0.161 -0.16)
1-0 @ 7.34% (-0.128 -0.13)
2-0 @ 6.37% (-0.29 -0.29)
3-1 @ 5.26% (-0.24 -0.24)
3-2 @ 3.76% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-0 @ 3.68% (-0.273 -0.27)
4-1 @ 2.28% (-0.17 -0.17)
4-2 @ 1.63% (-0.075 -0.08)
4-0 @ 1.6% (-0.167 -0.17)
Other @ 3.93%
Total : 44.93%
1-1 @ 10.47% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 6.49% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 4.23% (0.041 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.79% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.28%
1-2 @ 7.48% (0.269 0.27)
0-1 @ 6.04% (0.218 0.22)
0-2 @ 4.31% (0.267 0.27)
1-3 @ 3.56% (0.219 0.22)
2-3 @ 3.09% (0.11 0.11)
0-3 @ 2.05% (0.178 0.18)
1-4 @ 1.27% (0.11 0.11)
2-4 @ 1.1% (0.068 0.07)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 31.78%

How you voted: Napoli vs Fiorentina

Napoli
74.2%
Draw
21.0%
Fiorentina
4.8%
62
Head to Head
May 7, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 34
Napoli
1-0
Fiorentina
Osimhen (74' pen.)
Aug 28, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Fiorentina
0-0
Napoli
Martinez (60'), Jovic (68')
Zambo Anguissa (3'), Spalletti (19'), Raspadori (90'), Ndombele (90+3')
Apr 10, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 32
Napoli
2-3
Fiorentina
Mertens (58'), Osimhen (84')
Gonzalez (29'), Ikone (66'), Cabral (72')
Milenkovic (11'), Cabral (73'), Ikone (88')
Jan 13, 2022 5pm
Final
Napoli
2-5
Fiorentina
Mertens (44'), Petagna (90+5')
Rrahmani (56'), Fabian (77'), Tuanzebe (85')
Lozano (84'), Fabian (90+3')
Vlahovic (41'), Biraghi (57'), Venuti (105+1'), Piatek (108'), Maleh (119')
Duncan (23'), Castrovilli (59')
Dragowski (45+2')
Oct 3, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 7
Fiorentina
1-2
Napoli
Martinez (28')
Bonaventura (31'), Martinez (36'), Italiano (41'), Pulgar (52')
Lozano (39'), Rrahmani (50')
Zambo Anguissa (54'), Rui (67'), Demme (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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