MX23RW : Monday, December 23 02:12:47| >> :600:98530:98530:
Cheltenham Town
EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 8, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
Birmingham logo

Cheltenham
0 - 2
Birmingham


Davies (31'), Southwood (63'), Chapman (71'), Freestone (75')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Bacuna (24', 32')
Bacuna (43'), James (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Cheltenham Town and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Shrewsbury 1-0 Cheltenham
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Swansea 1-1 Birmingham
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Cheltenham Town 1-2 Birmingham City

Cheltenham were unsuccessful during their opening game of the League One season, but an unbeaten home record since February will be hard for Birmingham to break. Blues travel to face the Robins for the second time in less than a month, and we believe Eustace's men will have enough quality in their squad on the night to book a place in round two. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 51.09%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 25.15% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.67%) and 0-2 (8.47%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawBirmingham City
25.15% (-0.012 -0.01) 23.76% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 51.09% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 55.96% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.67% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)45.32% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.34% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)67.66% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.06% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)31.94% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.61% (-0.004999999999999 -0)68.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.22% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)17.77% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.52% (0.014000000000003 0.01)48.48% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 25.15%
    Birmingham City 51.09%
    Draw 23.76%
Cheltenham TownDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 6.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 6.39% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 3.7% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-1 @ 2.43% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.1%
3-0 @ 1.41% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 25.15%
1-1 @ 11.19%
0-0 @ 5.68% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 5.52%
3-3 @ 1.21% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.76%
0-1 @ 9.81% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-2 @ 9.67% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 8.47% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 5.57% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 4.88% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 3.18% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 2.4% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-4 @ 2.11% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.37% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 51.09%

How you voted: Cheltenham vs Birmingham

Cheltenham Town
27.3%
Draw
9.1%
Birmingham City
63.6%
11
Head to Head
Jul 22, 2023 3pm
Club Friendlies
Cheltenham
2-3
Birmingham
Chapman (16'), Lloyd (31')
Anderson (25'), James (35'), Bacuna (41')
Jul 19, 2022 7.45pm
Club Friendlies
Cheltenham
1-0
Birmingham
May (85')
Jul 17, 2021 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Cheltenham
0-3
Birmingham
Gardner (6'), Hogan (37'), Leko (82')
Jul 21, 2018 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Cheltenham
0-3
Birmingham
Lakin (26'), Lubala (52'), N'Doye (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool16123137162139
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!