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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 48.05%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 26.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Swansea City | Draw | Birmingham City |
48.05% ( 0.42) | 25.09% ( 0.15) | 26.85% ( -0.57) |
Both teams to score 53.19% ( -0.95) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.29% ( -1.03) | 49.7% ( 1.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.28% ( -0.93) | 71.72% ( 0.93) |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.29% ( -0.24) | 20.71% ( 0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.68% ( -0.38) | 53.31% ( 0.38) |
Birmingham City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.08% ( -0.99) | 32.91% ( 0.99) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.51% ( -1.12) | 69.48% ( 1.12) |
Score Analysis |
Swansea City | Draw | Birmingham City |
1-0 @ 10.73% ( 0.37) 2-1 @ 9.39% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 4.93% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 1.94% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.75% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.62% Total : 48.05% | 1-1 @ 11.92% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.14) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.09% | 0-1 @ 7.57% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 6.63% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.49% Total : 26.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 29 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 53 | 19 | 34 | 60 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 58 |
3 | Burnley | 29 | 15 | 12 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 57 |
4 | Sunderland | 29 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 55 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 29 | 10 | 14 | 5 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 44 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 47 | 36 | 11 | 44 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 42 |
8 | Bristol City | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 41 |
9 | Watford | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 40 | 41 | -1 | 41 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 41 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 39 |
12 | Coventry CityCoventry | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 38 |
13 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 38 |
14 | Millwall | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 37 |
15 | Preston North EndPreston | 29 | 8 | 13 | 8 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 37 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 36 |
17 | Swansea CitySwansea | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 34 |
18 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 31 |
19 | Hull City | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 29 |
20 | Stoke CityStoke | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 29 |
21 | Portsmouth | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 29 |
22 | Derby CountyDerby | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 27 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 26 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 29 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 27 | 62 | -35 | 22 |
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