Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 46.91%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.23%) and 1-2 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 1-0 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Preston North End in this match.