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Championship | Gameweek 17
Nov 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Sheffield Wednesday logo

Birmingham
2 - 1
Sheff Weds

Bacuna (45+3'), James (81')
Dembele (15')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Byers (45')
Windass (32'), Wilks (37'), Bannan (39'), Musaba (61'), Gassama (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Sheffield Wednesday, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland 3-1 Birmingham
Saturday, November 11 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Weds 0-4 Millwall
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Birmingham City 1-1 Sheffield Wednesday

The international break came at the right time for each of these two clubs and there could be more quality on show than there was before it. Nevertheless, it is difficult to see either of these teams prevailing, leading us to predict a competitive draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 39.91%. A win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 33.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Sheffield Wednesday win was 0-1 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawSheffield Wednesday
39.91% (0.041000000000004 0.04) 26.92% (-0.012 -0.01) 33.16% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 50.76% (0.037000000000006 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.62% (0.049999999999997 0.05)54.38% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.24% (0.041999999999998 0.04)75.75% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.31% (0.045000000000002 0.05)26.69% (-0.044999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.06% (0.061999999999998 0.06)61.94% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Sheffield Wednesday Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.24% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)30.75% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.98% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)67.02% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 39.91%
    Sheffield Wednesday 33.16%
    Draw 26.92%
Birmingham CityDrawSheffield Wednesday
1-0 @ 10.84%
2-1 @ 8.44% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.16% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 3.72% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.15% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.19% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.23% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.04% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 39.91%
1-1 @ 12.78% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.21% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.98% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.92%
0-1 @ 9.68% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.54% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 5.71% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.96% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.24% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.96% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 33.16%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Sheff Weds

Birmingham City
66.7%
Draw
16.7%
Sheffield Wednesday
16.7%
12
Head to Head
Feb 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 31
Sheff Weds
0-1
Birmingham

Shaw (44')
Shaw (50')
Hogan (63')
Clarke-Salter (22'), Etheridge (53')
Oct 17, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 5
Birmingham
0-1
Sheff Weds

Gardner (66')
Bannan (49' pen.)
Kachunga (74')
Feb 22, 2020 3pm
Nov 27, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Sheff Weds
1-1
Birmingham
Harris (81')
Borner (12')
Gimenez (48')
Alvaro (66'), Roberts (78'), Colin (84')
Jan 1, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 26
Sheff Weds
1-1
Birmingham
Fletcher (18')
Fox (87')
Adams (48')
Morrison (60'), Jota (71'), Gardner (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds30189360194163
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd30196541212061
3Burnley30151323692758
4Sunderland291510442241855
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn30136113429545
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom301014639271244
7Middlesbrough29128947361144
8Norwich CityNorwich30119104942742
9Bristol City30101283835342
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds30119104346-342
11Coventry CityCoventry30118114138341
12Watford30125134042-241
13Millwall301010103027340
14Queens Park RangersQPR30911103339-638
15Preston North EndPreston3081393338-537
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd30910113444-1037
17Swansea CitySwansea3097143242-1034
18Stoke CityStoke30711122837-932
19Cardiff CityCardiff30710133351-1831
20Portsmouth3079143652-1630
21Hull City3078153140-929
22Derby CountyDerby3076173241-927
23Luton TownLuton3076173049-1927
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth30510152963-3425


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