Championship | Gameweek 16
Nov 11, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Stadium of Light
Sunderland3 - 1Birmingham
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Swansea 0-0 Sunderland
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 2-2 Ipswich
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Championship
We said: Sunderland 2-1 Birmingham City
Sunderland have struggled at the Stadium of Light at points so far this season, but the visit of an out-of-form Birmingham side represents a good chance to collect maximum points. Blues are improving slowly as the squad gets accustomed to Rooney's style of play, although we do not believe that a maiden victory for the new boss is on the cards this weekend. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 54.32%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 22.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.76%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 1-2 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sunderland | Draw | Birmingham City |
54.32% ( -0.04) | 22.9% ( 0.03) | 22.78% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 56.05% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.09% ( -0.11) | 43.91% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.7% ( -0.11) | 66.3% ( 0.11) |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.91% ( -0.05) | 16.09% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.52% ( -0.1) | 45.48% ( 0.1) |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.8% ( -0.04) | 33.2% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.19% ( -0.05) | 69.81% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
Sunderland 54.32%
Birmingham City 22.78%
Draw 22.9%
| Sunderland | Draw | Birmingham City |
| 2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.76% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 8.92% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.99% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.43% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.74% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.48% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 2.47% Total : 54.32% | 1-1 @ 10.76% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.9% | 1-2 @ 5.93% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.89% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.18% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.19% ( 0)Other @ 2.34% Total : 22.78% |
How you voted: Sunderland vs Birmingham
Sunderland
89.5%Draw
5.3%Birmingham City
5.3%19
Head to Head
Apr 15, 2023 3pm
Nov 11, 2022 8pm
Dec 23, 2017 3pm
Aug 27, 2014 7.45pm
Form Guide
