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Championship | Gameweek 12
Oct 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
Sheffield Wednesday logo

Watford
1 - 0
Sheff Weds

Asprilla (82')
Porteous (45'), Lewis (50')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Hendrick (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Watford and Sheffield Wednesday, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 1-1 Watford
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Weds 0-0 Huddersfield
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Watford 2-1 Sheffield Wednesday

Sheffield Wednesday could well be rejuvenated under new management and will be desperate for a first league win of the season, while their hosts are yet to get going this term, but following the break, we see Watford having enough to click into place and return with a victory at Vicarage Road given the superior quality in their squad.
  • Read more.

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 54.17%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 22.24%.

    The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for a Sheffield Wednesday win it was 0-1 (6.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Watford in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Watford.

    Result
    WatfordDrawSheffield Wednesday
    54.17% (0.149 0.15) 23.58% (0.012 0.01) 22.24% (-0.16 -0.16)
    Both teams to score 53.12% (-0.238 -0.24)
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    52.54% (-0.218 -0.22)47.46% (0.218 0.22)
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    30.33% (-0.202 -0.2)69.67% (0.202 0.2)
    Watford Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    82.58% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)17.42% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    52.13% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)47.86% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
    Sheffield Wednesday Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    64.33% (-0.27000000000001 -0.27)35.66% (0.271 0.27)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    27.56% (-0.278 -0.28)72.43% (0.28 0.28)
    Score Analysis
        Watford 54.17%
        Sheffield Wednesday 22.24%
        Draw 23.58%
    WatfordDrawSheffield Wednesday
    1-0 @ 10.85% (0.09 0.09)
    2-1 @ 9.78%
    2-0 @ 9.49% (0.07 0.07)
    3-1 @ 5.7% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
    3-0 @ 5.53% (0.036 0.04)
    3-2 @ 2.94% (-0.024 -0.02)
    4-1 @ 2.49% (-0.004 -0)
    4-0 @ 2.41% (0.013 0.01)
    4-2 @ 1.28% (-0.012 -0.01)
    Other @ 3.7%
    Total : 54.17%
    1-1 @ 11.19% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
    0-0 @ 6.21% (0.056 0.06)
    2-2 @ 5.04% (-0.037 -0.04)
    3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.016 -0.02)
    Other @ 0.12%
    Total : 23.58%
    0-1 @ 6.41% (0.011 0.01)
    1-2 @ 5.77% (-0.037 -0.04)
    0-2 @ 3.3% (-0.019 -0.02)
    1-3 @ 1.98% (-0.028 -0.03)
    2-3 @ 1.73% (-0.026 -0.03)
    0-3 @ 1.14% (-0.015 -0.01)
    Other @ 1.91%
    Total : 22.24%

    How you voted: Watford vs Sheff Weds

    Watford
    73.9%
    Draw
    4.3%
    Sheffield Wednesday
    21.7%
    23
    Head to Head
    Apr 2, 2021 3pm
    Gameweek 39
    Watford
    1-0
    Sheff Weds
    Lees (7' og.)
    Sierralta (30'), Hughes (64')

    Borner (3'), Urhoghide (38'), Reach (41'), Wildsmith (78')
    Sep 19, 2020 3pm
    Gameweek 2
    Sheff Weds
    0-0
    Watford
    Luongo (65'), Bannan (68')
    Chalobah (81'), Garner (88')
    rhs 2.0
    Today's games header
    Tables header RHS
    TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
    1Leeds UnitedLeeds29179353193460
    2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd29186540211958
    3Burnley29151223692757
    4Sunderland291510442241855
    5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom291014538251344
    6Middlesbrough29128947361144
    7Blackburn RoversBlackburn29126113228442
    8Bristol City29101183734341
    9Watford29125124041-141
    10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds29118104245-341
    11Norwich CityNorwich29109104842639
    12Coventry CityCoventry29108113938138
    13Queens Park RangersQPR2991193237-538
    14Preston North EndPreston2981383236-437
    15Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2999113343-1036
    16Millwall28810102726134
    17Swansea CitySwansea2997133240-834
    18Cardiff CityCardiff29710123344-1131
    19Hull City2978143038-829
    20Stoke CityStoke29611122636-1029
    21Portsmouth2878133651-1529
    22Derby CountyDerby2976163240-827
    23Luton TownLuton2975172948-1926
    24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth29410152762-3522


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