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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 54.17%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 22.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for a Sheffield Wednesday win it was 0-1 (6.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Watford in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Watford.
Result | ||
Watford | Draw | Sheffield Wednesday |
54.17% ( 0.15) | 23.58% ( 0.01) | 22.24% ( -0.16) |
Both teams to score 53.12% ( -0.24) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.54% ( -0.22) | 47.46% ( 0.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.33% ( -0.2) | 69.67% ( 0.2) |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.58% ( -0.02) | 17.42% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.13% ( -0.05) | 47.86% ( 0.04) |
Sheffield Wednesday Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.33% ( -0.27) | 35.66% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.56% ( -0.28) | 72.43% ( 0.28) |
Score Analysis |
Watford | Draw | Sheffield Wednesday |
1-0 @ 10.85% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.78% 2-0 @ 9.49% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 5.7% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.53% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.49% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.7% Total : 54.17% | 1-1 @ 11.19% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.21% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.58% | 0-1 @ 6.41% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.91% Total : 22.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 29 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 53 | 19 | 34 | 60 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 58 |
3 | Burnley | 29 | 15 | 12 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 57 |
4 | Sunderland | 29 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 55 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 29 | 10 | 14 | 5 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 44 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 47 | 36 | 11 | 44 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 42 |
8 | Bristol City | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 41 |
9 | Watford | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 40 | 41 | -1 | 41 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 41 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 39 |
12 | Coventry CityCoventry | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 38 |
13 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 38 |
14 | Preston North EndPreston | 29 | 8 | 13 | 8 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 37 |
15 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 36 |
16 | Millwall | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 34 |
17 | Swansea CitySwansea | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 34 |
18 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 31 |
19 | Hull City | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 29 |
20 | Stoke CityStoke | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 29 |
21 | Portsmouth | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 36 | 51 | -15 | 29 |
22 | Derby CountyDerby | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 27 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 26 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 29 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 27 | 62 | -35 | 22 |
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