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Championship | Gameweek 12
Oct 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Birmingham logo

Middlesbrough
1 - 0
Birmingham

Rogers (88')
Crooks (26'), Engel (30'), Hackney (58')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Bielik (40'), Ruddy (45+4'), Longelo (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 3-1 West Brom
Friday, October 6 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 1-1 Birmingham City

Middlesbrough will be hoping their positive momentum can be carried over from before the international break, and Carrick's men should be confident of recording a sixth straight win in all competitions. Armed with a new manager and fresh ideas, Birmingham's performance at the Riverside Stadium will be under intense scrutiny, and we believe that Rooney will earn a respectable point from his first match in charge. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 54.34%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 22.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Middlesbrough in this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawBirmingham City
54.34% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 23.53% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 22.13% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 53.15% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.64% (0.014000000000003 0.01)47.35% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.42% (0.015000000000001 0.02)69.57% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.67% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)17.32% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.3% (0.012999999999998 0.01)47.69% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)35.71% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.51% (0.0040000000000013 0)72.48% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 54.33%
    Birmingham City 22.13%
    Draw 23.52%
MiddlesbroughDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 10.84% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.79%
2-0 @ 9.51% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 5.72% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 5.56% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.95% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.51% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-0 @ 2.44% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.29% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 54.33%
1-1 @ 11.16% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.19% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 5.04% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.52%
0-1 @ 6.37% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-2 @ 5.75%
0-2 @ 3.28% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.97%
2-3 @ 1.73% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 22.13%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Birmingham

Middlesbrough
64.7%
Draw
35.3%
Birmingham City
0.0%
17
Head to Head
Jan 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 26
Birmingham
1-3
Middlesbrough
Chong (74')
Crooks (57', 59'), Akpom (85')
Oct 5, 2022 7.45pm
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Birmingham
0-2
Middlesbrough

Pedersen (40'), Hernandez (80')
Pedersen (86')
Connolly (23'), Balogun (62')
Crooks (90')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 15
Middlesbrough
0-2
Birmingham
Roberts (53'), Hogan (56')
Sanderson (19'), Gardner (45+1'), McGree (90+3')
Jan 16, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 24
Middlesbrough
0-1
Birmingham

Dijksteel (83')
Hogan (26')
Toral (15'), Sunjic (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd28186440182258
2Leeds UnitedLeeds27168351193256
3Sunderland28159440221854
4Burnley27141123192253
5Middlesbrough28128846341244
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn28126103126542
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2891453324941
8Watford28125113939041
9Queens Park RangersQPR2891183235-338
10Bristol City2791083331237
11Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27107103843-537
12Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
13Coventry CityCoventry2898113737035
14Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2898113343-1035
15Swansea CitySwansea2897123135-434
16Preston North EndPreston2871383035-534
17Millwall27710102626031
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Cardiff CityCardiff28610123143-1228
20Derby CountyDerby2876153138-727
21Hull City2868142738-1126
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2875162947-1826
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


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