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Championship | Gameweek 21
Dec 12, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Ewood Park (Blackburn, Lancashire)
Bristol City

Blackburn
2 - 1
Bristol City

Sigurdsson (35'), Wharton (52')
Carter (22'), Brittain (85'), Szmodics (88'), Travis (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Sykes (60')
Knight (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackburn 0-2 Leeds
Saturday, December 9 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Huddersfield 1-1 Bristol City
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Blackburn Rovers 3-1 Bristol City

Blackburn were taught a lesson of ruthlessness by Farke's Leeds on the weekend, and we feel that Rovers could put their learnings into practice against Bristol City. The Robins have failed to see a drastic improvement results-wise since the appointment of Manning, so we are expecting a loss for the visitors at Ewood Park. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 31.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawBristol City
42.92% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 25.45% (-0.0089999999999968 -0.01) 31.62% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 54.98% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.27% (0.037999999999997 0.04)48.73% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.16% (0.034000000000002 0.03)70.84% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.38% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)22.62% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.76% (0.012999999999998 0.01)56.24% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.05% (0.032000000000011 0.03)28.95% (-0.035 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.16% (0.039000000000001 0.04)64.84% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 42.92%
    Bristol City 31.62%
    Draw 25.45%
Blackburn RoversDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 9.73% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.97%
2-0 @ 7.23% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.44%
3-0 @ 3.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.65% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.33%
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 42.92%
1-1 @ 12.06% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.55% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.56% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.14% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.45%
0-1 @ 8.12% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 7.48% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 5.03% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 3.09% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.3% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 2.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 0.96% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 31.62%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Bristol City

Blackburn Rovers
81.8%
Draw
6.1%
Bristol City
12.1%
33
Head to Head
Jan 21, 2023 3pm
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 8
Blackburn
2-3
Bristol City
Dolan (71'), Brereton Diaz (90+3')
Wharton (7'), Pickering (67')
Conway (42'), Wells (55', 73')
James (57'), Scott (58')
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 37
Blackburn
0-1
Bristol City

Khadra (49')
Weimann (90+2')
Scott (26'), Bentley (87'), Weimann (88')
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 18
Bristol City
1-1
Blackburn
O'Dowda (34')
Williams (71'), Massengo (74')
Brereton Diaz (75')
Nyambe (33'), Rothwell (82')
Mar 17, 2021 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds30189360194163
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd30196541212061
3Burnley30151323692758
4Sunderland291510442241855
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn30136113429545
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom301014639271244
7Middlesbrough29128947361144
8Norwich CityNorwich30119104942742
9Bristol City30101283835342
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds30119104346-342
11Coventry CityCoventry30118114138341
12Watford30125134042-241
13Millwall301010103027340
14Queens Park RangersQPR30911103339-638
15Preston North EndPreston3081393338-537
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd30910113444-1037
17Swansea CitySwansea3097143242-1034
18Stoke CityStoke30711122837-932
19Cardiff CityCardiff30710133351-1831
20Portsmouth3079143652-1630
21Hull City3078153140-929
22Derby CountyDerby3076173241-927
23Luton TownLuton3076173049-1927
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth30510152963-3425


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