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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 41.83%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 33.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.84%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 1-2 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bristol City | Draw | Norwich City |
41.83% ( 0.91) | 24.93% ( 0.22) | 33.25% ( -1.12) |
Both teams to score 57.34% ( -1.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.08% ( -1.29) | 45.93% ( 1.29) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.77% ( -1.23) | 68.24% ( 1.23) |
Bristol City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.07% ( -0.12) | 21.94% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.79% ( -0.18) | 55.22% ( 0.19) |
Norwich City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.45% ( -1.28) | 26.55% ( 1.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.24% ( -1.73) | 61.76% ( 1.74) |
Score Analysis |
Bristol City | Draw | Norwich City |
2-1 @ 8.89% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 8.84% ( 0.44) 2-0 @ 6.7% ( 0.31) 3-1 @ 4.49% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.42% Total : 41.83% | 1-1 @ 11.71% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 5.83% ( 0.31) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.93% | 1-2 @ 7.77% ( -0.17) 0-1 @ 7.73% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 3.43% ( -0.21) 2-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.13) 1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.11) Other @ 3.19% Total : 33.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 9 | 16 | 38 |
2 | Burnley | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 23 | 6 | 17 | 36 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 35 |
4 | Sunderland | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 33 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 30 |
6 | Watford | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 30 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 18 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 28 |
8 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 28 |
9 | Norwich CityNorwich | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 27 | 8 | 25 |
10 | Millwall | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 25 |
11 | Bristol City | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 25 |
12 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 25 |
13 | Swansea CitySwansea | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 23 |
14 | Stoke CityStoke | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Derby CountyDerby | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 20 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 18 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 18 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 18 |
20 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 38 | -20 | 17 |
22 | Hull City | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 15 |
24 | Portsmouth | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 13 |
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