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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 17
Nov 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Middlesbrough logo

Bristol City
3 - 2
Middlesbrough

Gardner-Hickman (37'), Conway (45+1' pen.), Sykes (67')
Gardner-Hickman (42'), Pring (77')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Vyner (50' og.), Crooks (52')
Fry (44'), Greenwood (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: QPR 0-0 Bristol City
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Bristol City 1-2 Middlesbrough

This has all the makings of an intriguing contest, the assumption being that Middlesbrough will prevail and perhaps undermining the impact that Manning could have had over the past two weeks. We still think Boro will win, but in a close game that is decided by a late goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 46.03%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 29.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.02%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 2-1 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
Bristol CityDrawMiddlesbrough
29.64% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07) 24.33% (0.0010000000000012 0) 46.03% (0.064 0.06)
Both teams to score 57.72% (-0.035999999999994 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.32% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)44.69% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.95% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)67.05% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.74% (-0.059000000000012 -0.06)28.26% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.03% (-0.074999999999996 -0.07)63.97% (0.075999999999993 0.08)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.46% (0.016000000000005 0.02)19.55% (-0.014999999999997 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.55% (0.024999999999999 0.02)51.45% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 29.64%
    Middlesbrough 46.03%
    Draw 24.33%
Bristol CityDrawMiddlesbrough
2-1 @ 7.2% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.98% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 4.41% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.03% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.48% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.86% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.96% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 29.64%
1-1 @ 11.39%
2-2 @ 5.88% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.52% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.33%
1-2 @ 9.3% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-1 @ 9.02% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.36% (0.017 0.02)
1-3 @ 5.06% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.01% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.2% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 2.07% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.63% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.31%
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 46.03%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Middlesbrough

Bristol City
18.2%
Draw
27.3%
Middlesbrough
54.5%
11
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 41
Bristol City
2-2
Middlesbrough
Bell (45+1'), Cornick (49')
Ramsey (58'), Crooks (64')
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 33
Bristol City
2-1
Middlesbrough
Weimann (7'), Semenyo (68')
Williams (9'), Scott (40')
Crooks (90')
Crooks (17')
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 2
Middlesbrough
2-1
Bristol City
Ikpeazu (38'), Crooks (70')
King (60')
Atkinson (24')
Feb 23, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 32
Middlesbrough
1-3
Bristol City
Fry (80')
Bola (63')
Diedhiou (21', 33'), Wells (37')
Palmer (61'), Hunt (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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