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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 24
Jan 25, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Kenilworth Road
Bristol City

Luton
2 - 1
Bristol City

Lockyer (42'), Adebayo (68')
Berry (24'), Kioso (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Weimann (56')
Semenyo (62'), Pring (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Luton Town 1-1 Bristol City

Both teams are far enough ahead of the relegation zone to play with a certain level of freedom at the weekend. Nevertheless, given their respective inconsistencies, we are backing a low-scoring draw to play out between two evenly-matched sides. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 55.22%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 21.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawBristol City
55.22%23.26%21.52%
Both teams to score 53.18%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.09%46.91%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.84%69.16%
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.16%16.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.15%46.85%
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.96%36.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.17%72.82%
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 55.22%
    Bristol City 21.52%
    Draw 23.25%
Luton TownDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 10.81%
2-1 @ 9.83%
2-0 @ 9.63%
3-1 @ 5.84%
3-0 @ 5.72%
3-2 @ 2.98%
4-1 @ 2.6%
4-0 @ 2.55%
4-2 @ 1.33%
5-1 @ 0.93%
5-0 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 55.22%
1-1 @ 11.03%
0-0 @ 6.07%
2-2 @ 5.01%
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.25%
0-1 @ 6.2%
1-2 @ 5.63%
0-2 @ 3.16%
1-3 @ 1.92%
2-3 @ 1.71%
0-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 21.52%

How you voted: Luton vs Bristol City

Luton Town
72.2%
Draw
12.4%
Bristol City
15.5%
97
Head to Head
Sep 15, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Bristol City
1-1
Luton
Baker (57')
Pring (37')
Hylton (90+1')
Lansbury (84'), Bree (88')
Apr 25, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 44
Bristol City
2-3
Luton
Wells (31'), Nagy (38')
Collins (59'), Adebayo (68'), Cornick (74')
Dec 29, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Luton
2-1
Bristol City
Rea (17'), Dewsbury-Hall (68')
Tunnicliffe (34')
Bradley (61' og.)
Semenyo (74')
Dec 29, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 25
Bristol City
3-0
Luton
Watkins (4'), Diedhiou (44' pen.), Weimann (66')
Williams (49')

Berry (32'), Bradley (58'), Collins (63'), Pearson (76')
Oct 19, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 12
Luton
3-0
Bristol City
Ruddock (56'), Cornick (62'), Williams (94' og.)
Tunnicliffe (51'), Ruddock (84')

Diedhiou (63'), Hunt (91')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920


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