MX23RW : Monday, January 20 21:46:26| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 26
Jan 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Millwall logo

Bristol City
0 - 1
Millwall


Williams (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hutchinson (90+2')
Norton-Cuffy (74'), Leonard (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 0-0 Bristol City
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Norwich
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Bristol City 1-1 Millwall

Millwall have only actually lost four times away from home in the Championship this season, sharing the spoils on five occasions, while Bristol City have dropped points in half of their 12 home league games in 2023-24. A case can be made for either to win it, but we are backing a low-scoring draw on Monday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 42.35%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 31.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.

Result
Bristol CityDrawMillwall
42.35% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01) 26.4% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 31.25% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Both teams to score 51.77% (-0.032999999999994 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.2% (-0.041999999999994 -0.04)52.8% (0.035999999999994 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.57% (-0.035999999999998 -0.04)74.42% (0.031000000000006 0.03)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.31% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)24.68% (0.020999999999997 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.78% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)59.21% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.74% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)31.25% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.39% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)67.6% (0.02000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 42.35%
    Millwall 31.25%
    Draw 26.39%
Bristol CityDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 10.79% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.78% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 7.55% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 4.1% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-0 @ 3.52% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.38% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.23% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 42.35%
1-1 @ 12.55% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.71% (0.011 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.11% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.39%
0-1 @ 8.97% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.3% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 5.22% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.83% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 2.02%
2-3 @ 1.98% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 31.25%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Millwall

Bristol City
60.7%
Draw
28.6%
Millwall
10.7%
28
Head to Head
Aug 12, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
Millwall
0-1
Bristol City

Hutchinson (67')
James (90+4')
Williams (25'), Pring (69'), Vyner (88')
Dec 29, 2022 7.45pm
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 15
Bristol City
1-2
Millwall
Hutchinson (71' og.)
Bradshaw (44'), Flemming (76')
Jan 2, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 26
Bristol City
3-2
Millwall
Weimann (7', 73', 85')
Towler (28'), O'Dowda (48'), Semenyo (67'), Wells (90+4')
Bradshaw (23'), Afobe (29' pen.)
Cooper (20'), Afobe (84')
Sep 29, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Millwall
1-0
Bristol City
Wallace (64' pen.)
McNamara (79')

Williams (59'), Atkinson (63')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds27168351193256
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd27176438172155
3Burnley27141123192253
4Sunderland27149439221751
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2712693124742
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom27914433221141
7Middlesbrough27118844341041
8Watford27125103837141
9Bristol City2791083331237
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27107103843-537
11Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
12Queens Park RangersQPR2781183034-435
13Swansea CitySwansea2797113033-334
14Coventry CityCoventry2788113537-232
15Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2788113041-1132
16Preston North EndPreston2761382834-631
17Millwall2679102424030
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Derby CountyDerby2776143137-627
20Cardiff CityCardiff2769122941-1227
21Hull City2768132636-1026
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2775152744-1726
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


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