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Championship | Gameweek 20
Dec 9, 2023 at 3pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Millwall logo

Cardiff
1 - 0
Millwall

Goutas (78')
Meite (62')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Hutchinson (63'), Leonard (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Southampton 2-0 Cardiff
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 1-1 Sunderland
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Cardiff City 2-1 Millwall

After a morale-boosting draw last time out, Edwards will hope that his Millwall side can now kick on. However, we feel that Cardiff will get back to winning ways in front of their own supporters, possibly having to come from behind to do so. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 40.13%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 32.18% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (10.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cardiff City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Cardiff City.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawMillwall
40.13% (-0.064 -0.06) 27.7% (-0.023 -0.02) 32.18% (0.087999999999994 0.09)
Both teams to score 48.17% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.46% (0.102 0.1)57.54% (-0.102 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.67% (0.082999999999998 0.08)78.33% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.94% (0.010999999999996 0.01)28.06% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.28% (0.015999999999998 0.02)63.72% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.96% (0.116 0.12)33.04% (-0.116 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.37% (0.126 0.13)69.64% (-0.12599999999999 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 40.12%
    Millwall 32.17%
    Draw 27.69%
Cardiff CityDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 11.78% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.29%
2-0 @ 7.49% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.51% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 3.17% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.94% (0.006 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.12% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.01% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 40.12%
1-1 @ 13.04% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.27% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.59% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.69%
0-1 @ 10.26% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.22% (0.019 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.69% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.67% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.1% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.69% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 32.17%

Head to Head
Jan 21, 2023 3pm
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 8
Millwall
2-0
Cardiff
Cresswell (63'), Afobe (90')
Styles (76'), Wallace (88')

Kipre (46'), Romeo (53')
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 32
Millwall
2-1
Cardiff
Wallace (73'), Bennett (82')
Wallace (53')
Bagan (90+1')
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 4
Cardiff
3-1
Millwall
Flint (66', 70'), Morrison (83')
Flint (51'), Nelson (86')
Afobe (76')
Cooper (65')
Jan 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 27
Cardiff
1-1
Millwall
Moore (71')
Bennett (69'), Vaulks (76'), Morrison (84')
Flint (9' og.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd39267656292783
2Leeds UnitedLeeds392312478275181
3Burnley392215253114281
4Sunderland392012756371972
5Coventry CityCoventry39178145651559
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom391318848351357
7Middlesbrough391691459491057
8Bristol City391415104942757
9Watford39158164751-453
10Norwich CityNorwich391313136154752
11Blackburn RoversBlackburn39157174241152
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds391410155460-652
13Millwall391312143740-351
14Preston North EndPreston381017113944-547
15Queens Park RangersQPR391112164553-845
16Swansea CitySwansea39129184051-1145
17Portsmouth39129184761-1445
18Stoke CityStoke391012174052-1242
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd391012174057-1742
20Hull City391011183948-941
21Cardiff CityCardiff39913174363-2040
22Derby CountyDerby38108204051-1138
23Luton TownLuton39108213560-2538
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth39713194077-3734


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