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Championship | Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Den
Norwich logo

Millwall
1 - 0
Norwich

Bradshaw (18')
Cooper (61'), Honeyman (81'), Watmore (90+1'), Leonard (90+2')
Saville (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Barnes (60'), McLean (75'), Sargent (81'), Idah (90+3'), Nunez (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Millwall and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 2-0 QPR
Tuesday, December 26 at 1pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 1-0 Norwich
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 1-2 Norwich City

Millwall will bring a three-game unbeaten run into this match, while Norwich suffered a defeat last time out, but we are expecting the away side to triumph here considering their quality in the forward positions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 43.72%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Millwall in this match.

Result
MillwallDrawNorwich City
43.72% (0.029000000000003 0.03) 26.21% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01) 30.08% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 51.83% (0.040000000000006 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.52% (0.055 0.05)52.48% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.85% (0.047000000000001 0.05)74.15% (-0.042999999999992 -0.04)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.14% (0.040000000000006 0.04)23.86% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.95% (0.055 0.05)58.05% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.08% (0.018999999999991 0.02)31.92% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.63% (0.021999999999998 0.02)68.37% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 43.72%
    Norwich City 30.08%
    Draw 26.2%
MillwallDrawNorwich City
1-0 @ 10.91% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.93% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.82% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 4.27% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.74% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.44% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.53% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 43.72%
1-1 @ 12.46%
0-0 @ 7.62% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.1% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.2%
0-1 @ 8.7% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.12%
0-2 @ 4.97% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 2.71% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 1.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.89% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 30.08%

How you voted: Millwall vs Norwich

Millwall
15.0%
Draw
20.0%
Norwich City
65.0%
40
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 3
Norwich
3-1
Millwall
Rowe (25'), Sargent (49'), Barnes (56')
Rowe (45+1'), Omobamidele (90+3')
Emakhu (90+1')
Mitchell (45+1')
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 35
Millwall
2-3
Norwich
Bradshaw (20'), Flemming (83')
Sorensen (38'), Bradshaw (55' og.), Sara (65')
Aug 19, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 5
Norwich
2-0
Millwall
Sargent (50', 75')
Gibbs (84'), Krul (90+2')

Saville (19'), Honeyman (66')
Feb 2, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 26
Millwall
0-0
Norwich
McLean (83'), (89')
Nov 3, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 10
Norwich
0-0
Millwall
Woods (52')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds30189360194163
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd30196541212061
3Burnley30151323692758
4Sunderland291510442241855
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn30136113429545
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom301014639271244
7Middlesbrough29128947361144
8Norwich CityNorwich30119104942742
9Bristol City30101283835342
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds30119104346-342
11Coventry CityCoventry30118114138341
12Watford30125134042-241
13Millwall301010103027340
14Queens Park RangersQPR30911103339-638
15Preston North EndPreston3081393338-537
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd30910113444-1037
17Swansea CitySwansea3097143242-1034
18Stoke CityStoke30711122837-932
19Cardiff CityCardiff30710133351-1831
20Portsmouth3079143652-1630
21Hull City3078153140-929
22Derby CountyDerby3076173241-927
23Luton TownLuton3076173049-1927
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth30510152963-3425


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