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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 49.17%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 27.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-2 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Southampton |
49.17% ( -2.4) | 23.64% ( 1.32) | 27.19% ( 1.08) |
Both teams to score 58.29% ( -3.66) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.87% ( -5.27) | 43.13% ( 5.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.47% ( -5.42) | 65.53% ( 5.42) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.32% ( -2.8) | 17.68% ( 2.8) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.69% ( -5.08) | 48.31% ( 5.09) |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.8% ( -1.97) | 29.2% ( 1.97) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.86% ( -2.49) | 65.14% ( 2.49) |
Score Analysis |
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Southampton |
2-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.95% ( 1.23) 2-0 @ 7.75% ( 0.4) 3-1 @ 5.51% ( -0.57) 3-0 @ 4.48% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.56) 4-1 @ 2.39% ( -0.51) 4-0 @ 1.94% ( -0.29) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.41) Other @ 3.76% Total : 49.17% | 1-1 @ 11.01% ( 0.97) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.35) 0-0 @ 5.16% ( 1.11) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.32) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.64% | 1-2 @ 6.78% ( 0.25) 0-1 @ 6.35% ( 1.08) 0-2 @ 3.91% ( 0.48) 1-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.29) 0-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.12) Other @ 3.36% Total : 27.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 51 | 19 | 32 | 56 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 55 |
3 | Burnley | 27 | 14 | 11 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 53 |
4 | Sunderland | 27 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 39 | 22 | 17 | 51 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 42 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 27 | 9 | 14 | 4 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 41 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 44 | 34 | 10 | 41 |
8 | Watford | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 41 |
9 | Bristol City | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 37 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 36 |
12 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 27 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 35 |
13 | Swansea CitySwansea | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 34 |
14 | Coventry CityCoventry | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 37 | -2 | 32 |
15 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 27 | 6 | 13 | 8 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 31 |
17 | Millwall | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 30 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 28 |
19 | Derby CountyDerby | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 31 | 37 | -6 | 27 |
20 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 27 |
21 | Hull City | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 26 |
22 | Portsmouth | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 26 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 26 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 27 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 25 | 55 | -30 | 21 |
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