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EFL Cup
Bristol City
EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Norwich logo

Bristol City
0 - 1
Norwich

FT(HT: 0-0)
Placheta (49')
Giannoulis (79'), Forshaw (86'), Barnes (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Bristol City and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol City

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: Hull City 1-1 Bristol City
Friday, August 25 at 7.30pm in Championship

Norwich City

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: Huddersfield 0-4 Norwich
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Bristol City 0-1 Norwich City

 Norwich City have made a flying start to the campaign, so we expect them to continue their unbeaten run and book their place in the third round on Tuesday night. Although they lost their last match at Ashton Gate, Norwich have a very good recent record against Bristol City, and they have started the season far better. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 43.1%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 32.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 2-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Norwich City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Norwich City.

Result
Bristol CityDrawNorwich City
32.04% (0.202 0.2) 24.85% (0.009999999999998 0.01) 43.1% (-0.218 -0.22)
Both teams to score 57.17% (0.044999999999995 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.05% (0.021000000000001 0.02)45.95% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.74% (0.02 0.02)68.25% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.69% (0.13799999999999 0.14)27.31% (-0.142 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.25% (0.18 0.18)62.75% (-0.184 -0.18)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.65% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)21.35% (0.087 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.68% (-0.13800000000001 -0.14)54.32% (0.13200000000001 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 32.04%
    Norwich City 43.1%
    Draw 24.85%
Bristol CityDrawNorwich City
2-1 @ 7.58% (0.032 0.03)
1-0 @ 7.57% (0.021 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.91% (0.034 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.28% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.53% (0.015 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.13% (0.023 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.07% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 32.04%
1-1 @ 11.68%
2-2 @ 5.86% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.83% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.3% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.85%
1-2 @ 9.02% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
0-1 @ 9% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 6.95% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.64% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.58% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-3 @ 3.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.79% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.38% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.16% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 43.1%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Norwich

Bristol City
14.3%
Draw
14.3%
Norwich City
71.4%
77
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