MX23RW : Wednesday, January 15 03:40:04| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Championship | Gameweek 18
Oct 29, 2022 at 3pm UK
Turf Moor
Reading logo

Burnley
2 - 1
Reading

Benson (66'), Zaroury (90+4')
Harwood-Bellis (22'), Benson (90+6'), Muric (90+9')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ince (56')
Rahman (35'), Holmes (59'), N'Diaye (72'), Ince (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Burnley and Reading, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burnley 1-0 Norwich
Tuesday, October 25 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Reading 2-0 Bristol City
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Burnley 2-0 Reading

Having ended their recent losing streak, Reading will travel to the North-West with the belief that they can cause a surprise. Nevertheless, we are backing Burnley to continue along their merry way, potentially with a goal in either half. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 70.53%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Reading had a probability of 10.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.51%) and 3-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.87%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
BurnleyDrawReading
70.53% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02) 18.89% (0.029999999999998 0.03) 10.58% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 42.07% (-0.105 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.41% (-0.133 -0.13)48.59% (0.136 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.29% (-0.121 -0.12)70.71% (0.12299999999999 0.12)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.45% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)12.55% (0.045 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.41% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)38.59% (0.092000000000006 0.09)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.11% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)51.89% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.07% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)85.93% (0.063999999999993 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 70.52%
    Reading 10.58%
    Draw 18.89%
BurnleyDrawReading
2-0 @ 14.02% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 13.51% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
3-0 @ 9.7% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 9.2% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.37% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 5.04% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.3% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.09% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.09% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.37% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 70.52%
1-1 @ 8.87% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.51% (0.036 0.04)
2-2 @ 3.02% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 18.89%
0-1 @ 4.27% (0.011 0.01)
1-2 @ 2.91% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.4%
Other @ 2%
Total : 10.58%

How you voted: Burnley vs Reading

Burnley
84.2%
Draw
15.8%
Reading
0.0%
19
Head to Head
Feb 13, 2016 3pm
May 3, 2014 12.15pm
Reading
2-2
Burnley
Trippier (16'), McCleary (58')
Akpan (37')
Arfield (19'), Ings (28')
Arfield (60'), Mee (69'), Duff (81')
Feb 17, 2012 8pm
Reading
1-0
Burnley
Roberts (11')
Roberts (40'), Gorkss (66'), Hunt (84')

Wallace (39'), Duff (45'), Rodriguez (48'), Marney (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Watford26115103637-138
9Bristol City2691073330337
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2678112941-1229
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Cardiff CityCardiff2659122641-1524
22Portsmouth2458113041-1123
23Hull City2658132536-1123
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2649132554-2921


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