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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 56.59%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 19.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.92%) and 1-2 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 1-0 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Birmingham City | Draw | Burnley |
19.41% ( -0.07) | 24% ( 0.32) | 56.59% ( -0.26) |
Both teams to score 47.79% ( -1.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.52% ( -1.34) | 52.48% ( 1.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.85% ( -1.16) | 74.15% ( 1.16) |
Birmingham City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.56% ( -0.85) | 41.44% ( 0.85) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.06% ( -0.76) | 77.94% ( 0.76) |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.61% ( -0.59) | 18.38% ( 0.59) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.48% ( -1.01) | 49.52% ( 1.01) |
Score Analysis |
Birmingham City | Draw | Burnley |
1-0 @ 6.71% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 5.01% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 2.96% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.02% Total : 19.41% | 1-1 @ 11.36% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 7.62% ( 0.4) 2-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.77% Total : 23.99% | 0-1 @ 12.9% ( 0.44) 0-2 @ 10.92% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 9.63% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 6.17% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 5.43% ( -0.15) 0-4 @ 2.61% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.12) 1-4 @ 2.3% ( -0.11) 2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.21% Total : 56.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 29 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 53 | 19 | 34 | 60 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 58 |
3 | Burnley | 29 | 15 | 12 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 57 |
4 | Sunderland | 29 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 55 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 29 | 10 | 14 | 5 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 44 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 47 | 36 | 11 | 44 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 42 |
8 | Bristol City | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 41 |
9 | Watford | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 40 | 41 | -1 | 41 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 41 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 39 |
12 | Coventry CityCoventry | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 38 |
13 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 38 |
14 | Millwall | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 37 |
15 | Preston North EndPreston | 29 | 8 | 13 | 8 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 37 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 36 |
17 | Swansea CitySwansea | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 34 |
18 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 31 |
19 | Hull City | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 29 |
20 | Stoke CityStoke | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 29 |
21 | Portsmouth | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 29 |
22 | Derby CountyDerby | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 27 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 26 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 29 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 27 | 62 | -35 | 22 |
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