Championship

Championship | Gameweek 43

Apr 19, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Vicarage Road

Watford
1 - 3
Cardiff

Sarr (11')
Hoedt (40'), Davis (74'), Ngakia (77')

FT(HT: 1-3)

Etete (31'), Kipre (35'), Kaba (42')
Etete (39'), Ralls (57'), O'Dowda (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Watford and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Watford

All competitions

Last Game: Watford 2-0 Bristol City
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Cardiff City

All competitions

Last Game: Sheff Utd 4-1 Cardiff
Saturday, April 15 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Watford 2-0 Cardiff City

Cardiff have lost all momentum under Lamouchi at the wrong time when Watford may be increasingly optimistic about a late charge. With that in mind, we are backing the home side to produce a professional performance to record three points and a clean sheet. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 55.1%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 20.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.48%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (6.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
Watford	Draw	Cardiff City
55.1% ( 0.27)	24.28% ( -0.06)	20.62% ( -0.2)

Both teams to score 48.77% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.87%

52.13% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.15% (

-0)

73.85% (

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.18% (

0.1)

18.81% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.76% (

0.17)

50.24% (

-0.17)

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.07% (

-0.21)

39.93% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.41% (

-0.2)

76.58% (

0.2)

Score Analysis

Watford 55.09%

Cardiff City 20.62%

Draw 24.28%

Watford	Draw	Cardiff City
1-0 @ 12.54% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 10.48% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.84% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 5.36% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.44% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.24% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 3.09% Total : 55.09%	1-1 @ 11.52% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.51% 2-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.83% Total : 24.28%	0-1 @ 6.9% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.32% Total : 20.62%