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Championship
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Championship | Gameweek 15
Oct 15, 2022 at 3pm UK
Turf Moor
Swansea logo

Burnley
4 - 0
Swansea

Vitinho (15'), Rodriguez (29', 57'), Zaroury (45+3')
Brownhill (61')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Sorinola (23'), Cabango (34'), Fulton (38'), Latibeaudiere (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Burnley and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burnley

All competitions
Last Game: Coventry 0-1 Burnley
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in Championship

Swansea City

All competitions
Last Game: Swansea 2-1 Sunderland
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Burnley 1-1 Swansea City

 With this being a meeting with two of the form teams in the division, we are expecting a highly-competitive contest. While Swansea are enjoying their best-ever run under Martin, we cannot ignore the amount of draws that Burnley have recorded this campaign, leading us to predict a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 59.78%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Swansea City had a probability of 18.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.52%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Swansea City win it was 0-1 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
BurnleyDrawSwansea City
59.78% (0.097000000000001 0.1) 21.99% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06) 18.22% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 51.86% (0.133 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54% (0.211 0.21)46% (-0.213 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.69% (0.2 0.2)68.3% (-0.202 -0.2)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.01% (0.101 0.1)14.98% (-0.104 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.57% (0.195 0.2)43.42% (-0.198 -0.2)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.99% (0.081000000000003 0.08)39% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.27% (0.076000000000001 0.08)75.72% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 59.77%
    Swansea City 18.22%
    Draw 21.99%
BurnleyDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 11.09% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-0 @ 10.52% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.91% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.66% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.27% (0.026 0.03)
4-0 @ 3.16% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.98% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.95% (0.019 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.4% (0.014 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.2% (0.011 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.13% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 59.77%
1-1 @ 10.44% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.84% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.67% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 21.99%
0-1 @ 5.5% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-2 @ 4.92% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 2.59% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.54% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.47% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 18.22%

How you voted: Burnley vs Swansea

Burnley
47.5%
Draw
25.4%
Swansea City
27.1%
59
Head to Head
Feb 10, 2018 3pm
Swansea
1-0
Burnley
Sung-yeung (81')
Olsson (28'), Ayew (91')

Hendrick (57')
> Match Report
Nov 18, 2017 3pm
Burnley
2-0
Swansea
Cork (29'), Barnes (39')
Ward (17')

Dyer (97')
> Match Report
Mar 4, 2017 3pm
Swansea
3-2
Burnley
Llorente (13', 92'), Olsson (70')
Fer (57'), Cork (85')
Gray (20' pen., 61')
Ward (9'), Mee (54')
> Match Report
Aug 13, 2016 3pm
Burnley
0-1
Swansea
> Match Report
Feb 28, 2015 3pm
Burnley
0-1
Swansea
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310
> Championship Full Table


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