We said: Burnley 1-0 Sunderland
Keeping clean sheets in each of their last four Championship games, Burnley will be supremely confident of repeating the trick on Friday night against Sunderland.
The Black Cats performed admirably to beat fellow promotion rivals Sheffield United earlier this month, but we feel that the Wearside will fall short at Turf Moor.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 44.88%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 28.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.