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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 50.42%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Reading had a probability of 23.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (8.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cardiff City in this match.
Result | ||
Cardiff City | Draw | Reading |
50.42% ( 0.83) | 26.5% ( -0.05) | 23.08% ( -0.78) |
Both teams to score 45.6% ( -0.66) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.11% ( -0.45) | 57.89% ( 0.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.39% ( -0.36) | 78.61% ( 0.35) |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.93% ( 0.18) | 23.07% ( -0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.09% ( 0.26) | 56.91% ( -0.26) |
Reading Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.27% ( -1) | 40.73% ( 1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.69% ( -0.91) | 77.31% ( 0.91) |
Score Analysis |
Cardiff City | Draw | Reading |
1-0 @ 13.78% ( 0.31) 2-0 @ 10.1% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 9.08% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.94% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 4.44% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.63% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.65% Total : 50.42% | 1-1 @ 12.37% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 9.4% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.65% Total : 26.49% | 0-1 @ 8.44% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.26% Total : 23.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 48 | 19 | 29 | 53 |
2 | Burnley | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 52 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 17 | 19 | 52 |
4 | Sunderland | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 22 | 17 | 50 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 41 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 26 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 40 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 39 |
8 | Watford | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 38 |
9 | Bristol City | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 37 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 37 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 36 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 34 |
13 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 32 |
14 | Millwall | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 30 |
15 | Preston North EndPreston | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 30 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 29 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 29 |
18 | Derby CountyDerby | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 27 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 27 |
20 | Luton TownLuton | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 25 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 24 |
22 | Portsmouth | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 23 |
23 | Hull City | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 23 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 25 | 54 | -29 | 21 |
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