MX23RW : Tuesday, January 14 22:45:13| >> :300:86500:86500:
Blackburn logo
Bristol City
Burnley logo
Cardiff City logo
Coventry City
Derby logo
Hull logo
Leeds logo
Luton Town
Middlesbrough logo
Millwall logo
Norwich logo
Oxford United
Plymouth Argyle
Portsmouth
Preston North End logo
QPR logo
Sheffield United logo
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Stoke logo
Sunderland
Swansea logo
Watford logo
West Brom logo
Stoke logo
Championship | Gameweek 28
Jan 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Reading logo

Stoke
4 - 0
Reading

Smallbone (11'), Campbell (57'), Brown (80'), Gayle (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Reading, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Utd 3-1 Stoke
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Reading 2-2 QPR
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 2-1 Reading

Stoke have not started 2023 in the best fashion and considerable pressure will be on Neil to earn all three points against a Reading side who have been prone to self-destruction away from home. The Royals' squad took a further beating last weekend with injuries to Hutchinson, Carroll and Long, which could contribute to a disappointing result in Staffordshire this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 47.67%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Reading had a probability of 25.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.55%) and 2-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawReading
47.67% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02) 27.32% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08) 25.01% (0.099 0.1)
Both teams to score 45.23% (0.292 0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.68% (0.331 0.33)59.32% (-0.334 -0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.28% (0.254 0.25)79.71% (-0.258 -0.26)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.03% (0.139 0.14)24.97% (-0.141 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.38% (0.193 0.19)59.61% (-0.196 -0.2)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.28% (0.276 0.28)39.72% (-0.279 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.6% (0.255 0.25)76.4% (-0.25700000000001 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 47.67%
    Reading 25.01%
    Draw 27.31%
Stoke CityDrawReading
1-0 @ 13.76% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-0 @ 9.55% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.82% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.42% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 4.08% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.88% (0.027 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.53% (0.006 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.41% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 47.67%
1-1 @ 12.7% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.92% (-0.122 -0.12)
2-2 @ 4.07% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 27.31%
0-1 @ 9.16% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
1-2 @ 5.87% (0.038 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.23% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.81% (0.025 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.3% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.25% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 25.01%

How you voted: Stoke vs Reading

Stoke City
50.0%
Draw
34.6%
Reading
15.4%
26
Head to Head
Sep 4, 2022 12pm
Reading
2-1
Stoke
Joao (2', 57' pen.)
Hutchinson (6')
Wilmot (40')
Apr 5, 2022 8pm
Reading
2-1
Stoke
Morrison (13'), Harwood-Bellis (63' og.)
Ejaria (30')
Sawyers (44')
Tymon (62'), Harwood-Bellis (71'), Wilmot (90+1')
Aug 7, 2021 3pm
Stoke
3-2
Reading
Powell (25'), Brown (28'), Surridge (85')
Swift (26'), Moore (61')
Moore (24'), Laurent (90')
Feb 6, 2021 3pm
Nov 7, 2020 12.30pm
Reading
0-3
Stoke
Campbell (23'), Fletcher (35'), Brown (90+4')
Thompson (4'), McClean (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Vikings
9-27
Rams
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Watford26115103637-138
9Bristol City2691073330337
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2678112941-1229
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Cardiff CityCardiff2659122641-1524
22Portsmouth2458113041-1123
23Hull City2658132536-1123
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2649132554-2921


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!