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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 29
Jan 31, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Cardiff City logo

Luton
1 - 0
Cardiff

Adebayo (88')
Doughty (49'), Adebayo (58'), Morris (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ralls (45+1'), McGuinness (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 0-1 Millwall
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 2-0 Cardiff City

Although Cardiff do have a new manager in charge we believe that there has not been ample time for Sabri Lamouchi to have a sufficient impact on his side through coaching and they will fall short despite showing signs of improvement against Luton. We think Cardiff will still lack a goal threat in forward areas and that Luton will eventually break the deadlock and win this game 2-0. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 57.01%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 19.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.49%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Luton Town in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Luton Town.

Result
Luton TownDrawCardiff City
57.01% (1.289 1.29) 23.3% (-0.72 -0.72) 19.69% (-0.57 -0.57)
Both teams to score 50.29% (1.274 1.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.62% (2.155 2.16)49.38% (-2.156 -2.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.57% (1.907 1.91)71.42% (-1.909 -1.91)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.9% (1.259 1.26)17.09% (-1.261 -1.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.71% (2.179 2.18)47.29% (-2.182 -2.18)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.66% (0.625 0.63)39.34% (-0.627 -0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.96% (0.577 0.58)76.04% (-0.58 -0.58)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 57%
    Cardiff City 19.69%
    Draw 23.3%
Luton TownDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 11.87% (-0.56 -0.56)
2-0 @ 10.49% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.79% (0.12 0.12)
3-0 @ 6.18% (0.22 0.22)
3-1 @ 5.76% (0.3 0.3)
4-0 @ 2.73% (0.204 0.2)
3-2 @ 2.69% (0.184 0.18)
4-1 @ 2.55% (0.23 0.23)
4-2 @ 1.19% (0.125 0.13)
5-0 @ 0.96% (0.108 0.11)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 57%
1-1 @ 11.08% (-0.32 -0.32)
0-0 @ 6.72% (-0.612 -0.61)
2-2 @ 4.57% (0.133 0.13)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 23.3%
0-1 @ 6.27% (-0.454 -0.45)
1-2 @ 5.17% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-2 @ 2.93% (-0.158 -0.16)
1-3 @ 1.61% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.42% (0.065 0.07)
0-3 @ 0.91% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 19.69%

How you voted: Luton vs Cardiff

Luton Town
80.0%
Draw
11.7%
Cardiff City
8.3%
120
Head to Head
Aug 30, 2022 7.45pm
Apr 18, 2022 3pm
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Luton
1-2
Cardiff
Clark (64')
Rea (42')
Colwill (10'), Morrison (77')
Morrison (38'), Smithies (85')
Feb 16, 2021 8.15pm
Nov 28, 2020 3pm
Cardiff
4-0
Luton
Morrison (5'), Harris (9'), Moore (59'), Ojo (83')
Nelson (4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds29179353193460
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd29186540211958
3Burnley29151223692757
4Sunderland291510442241855
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom291014538251344
6Middlesbrough29128947361144
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn29126113228442
8Bristol City29101183734341
9Watford29125124041-141
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds29118104245-341
11Norwich CityNorwich29109104842639
12Coventry CityCoventry29108113938138
13Queens Park RangersQPR2991193237-538
14Preston North EndPreston2981383236-437
15Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2999113343-1036
16Millwall28810102726134
17Swansea CitySwansea2997133240-834
18Cardiff CityCardiff29710123344-1131
19Hull City2978143038-829
20Stoke CityStoke29611122636-1029
21Portsmouth2878133651-1529
22Derby CountyDerby2976163240-827
23Luton TownLuton2975172948-1926
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth29410152762-3522


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