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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 57.01%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 19.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.49%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Luton Town in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Luton Town.
Result | ||
Luton Town | Draw | Cardiff City |
57.01% ( 1.29) | 23.3% ( -0.72) | 19.69% ( -0.57) |
Both teams to score 50.29% ( 1.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.62% ( 2.16) | 49.38% ( -2.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.57% ( 1.91) | 71.42% ( -1.91) |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.9% ( 1.26) | 17.09% ( -1.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.71% ( 2.18) | 47.29% ( -2.18) |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.66% ( 0.63) | 39.34% ( -0.63) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.96% ( 0.58) | 76.04% ( -0.58) |
Score Analysis |
Luton Town | Draw | Cardiff City |
1-0 @ 11.87% ( -0.56) 2-0 @ 10.49% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 5.76% ( 0.3) 4-0 @ 2.73% ( 0.2) 3-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.18) 4-1 @ 2.55% ( 0.23) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.13) 5-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.8% Total : 57% | 1-1 @ 11.08% ( -0.32) 0-0 @ 6.72% ( -0.61) 2-2 @ 4.57% ( 0.13) Other @ 0.93% Total : 23.3% | 0-1 @ 6.27% ( -0.45) 1-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.38% Total : 19.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 29 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 53 | 19 | 34 | 60 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 58 |
3 | Burnley | 29 | 15 | 12 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 57 |
4 | Sunderland | 29 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 55 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 29 | 10 | 14 | 5 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 44 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 47 | 36 | 11 | 44 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 42 |
8 | Bristol City | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 41 |
9 | Watford | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 40 | 41 | -1 | 41 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 41 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 39 |
12 | Coventry CityCoventry | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 38 |
13 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 38 |
14 | Preston North EndPreston | 29 | 8 | 13 | 8 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 37 |
15 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 36 |
16 | Millwall | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 34 |
17 | Swansea CitySwansea | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 34 |
18 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 31 |
19 | Hull City | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 29 |
20 | Stoke CityStoke | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 29 |
21 | Portsmouth | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 36 | 51 | -15 | 29 |
22 | Derby CountyDerby | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 27 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 26 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 29 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 27 | 62 | -35 | 22 |
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