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Championship | Gameweek 15
Nov 10, 2024 at 3pm UK
Turf Moor
Swansea logo

Burnley
1 - 0
Swansea

Rodriguez (90+4' pen.)
Cullen (32')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Pereira Martins (61'), Cullen (86'), Cabango (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Burnley and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Brom 0-0 Burnley
Thursday, November 7 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 1-0 Watford
Tuesday, November 5 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Burnley 2-1 Swansea City

This has all the makings of a competitive fixture now that Swansea have found some form at the same time as Burnley have lost their way. Nevertheless, Parker is aware that he must change something to instigate a turnaround, which may lead to a late victory at Turf Moor. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 49.59%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 25.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Burnley in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Burnley.

Result
BurnleyDrawSwansea City
49.59% (0.00099999999999767 0) 24.43% (0.0010000000000012 0) 25.97% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Both teams to score 54.54% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)47.57% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)69.78% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.78% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)19.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.08% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)50.92% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.52%32.48% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)69% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 49.59%
    Swansea City 25.97%
    Draw 24.43%
BurnleyDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 10.29%
2-1 @ 9.55%
2-0 @ 8.49%
3-1 @ 5.25% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 4.67%
3-2 @ 2.95%
4-1 @ 2.16%
4-0 @ 1.92%
4-2 @ 1.22%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 49.59%
1-1 @ 11.57%
0-0 @ 6.24% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.37% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.43%
0-1 @ 7.02% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 6.51%
0-2 @ 3.95% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.44%
2-3 @ 2.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 25.97%

How you voted: Burnley vs Swansea

Burnley
63.0%
Draw
15.2%
Swansea City
21.7%
46
Head to Head
Jan 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 26
Swansea
1-2
Burnley
Cooper (27')
Maatsen (13', 22')
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 15
Burnley
4-0
Swansea
Vitinho (15'), Rodriguez (29', 57'), Zaroury (45+3')
Feb 10, 2018 3pm
Nov 18, 2017 3pm
Burnley
2-0
Swansea
Cork (29'), Barnes (39')
Ward (17')

Dyer (97')
Mar 4, 2017 3pm
Swansea
3-2
Burnley
Llorente (13', 92'), Olsson (70')
Fer (57'), Cork (85')
Gray (20' pen., 61')
Ward (9'), Mee (54')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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