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Oxford United
Championship | Gameweek 13
Nov 2, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Swansea logo

Oxford Utd
1 - 2
Swansea

Scarlett (88')
Sibley (32')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Vipotnik (38'), Bianchini (80')
Tymon (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Oxford United and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland 2-0 Oxford Utd
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 0-1 Millwall
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Oxford United 1-0 Swansea City

Although both teams are going through a period where a win feels further way than it once did, we can only back Oxford to prevail from this contest courtesy of their impressive home record, one which comes accompanied with a strong defensive effort. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 38.99%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 34.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-0 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawSwansea City
34.92% (-0.398 -0.4) 26.09% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 38.99% (0.41999999999999 0.42)
Both teams to score 53.78% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.31% (0.054000000000002 0.05)50.68% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.41% (0.047000000000001 0.05)72.58% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.18% (-0.215 -0.22)27.82% (0.212 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.58% (-0.276 -0.28)63.41% (0.273 0.27)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.51% (0.251 0.25)25.49% (-0.253 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.67% (0.343 0.34)60.32% (-0.345 -0.34)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 34.92%
    Swansea City 38.99%
    Draw 26.09%
Oxford UnitedDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 9.07% (-0.075000000000001 -0.08)
2-1 @ 7.93% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
2-0 @ 5.8% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-1 @ 3.38% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.48% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.31% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.08% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 34.92%
1-1 @ 12.4% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.09% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.42% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.09%
0-1 @ 9.69% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
1-2 @ 8.48% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
0-2 @ 6.63% (0.081 0.08)
1-3 @ 3.86% (0.053 0.05)
0-3 @ 3.02% (0.059 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.47% (0.019 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.32% (0.027 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.03% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 38.99%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Swansea

Oxford United
61.9%
Draw
26.2%
Swansea City
11.9%
42
Head to Head
Jul 21, 2023 7.30pm
Club Friendlies
Oxford Utd
1-0
Swansea
Browne (6')
Aug 9, 2022 7.45pm
First Round
Oxford Utd
2-2
Swansea
(Aggregate 2-2 | Oxford Utd win 5-3 on penalties)
Rodriguez (72'), Brannagan (90+3')
McGinty (7'), Browne (65')
Fulton (8'), Cullen (25')
Sorinola (76'), Cullen (82')
Jan 10, 2016 12pm
Third Round
Oxford Utd
3-2
Swansea
Sercombe (45' pen.), Roofe (49', 59')
Montero (23'), Gomis (66')
Grimes (39'), Amat (46'), Tabanou (52'), Shelvey (56')
Apr 15, 2005 3pm
Swansea
1-0
Oxford Utd
O'Leary (44')
Martinez (81')

Quinn (16'), Mackay (27'), Corbo (56')
Corbo (70')
Dec 8, 2004 3pm
Oxford Utd
0-1
Swansea

Robinson (4'), Ashton (50')
Ashton (60')
Goodfellow (61')
Gueret (36'), Monk (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920


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