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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 46.27%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 29.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.21%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Derby County win was 1-2 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Coventry City | Draw | Derby County |
46.27% ( 0.5) | 24.42% ( 0.43) | 29.31% ( -0.93) |
Both teams to score 57.19% ( -2.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.71% ( -2.46) | 45.29% ( 2.46) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.37% ( -2.4) | 67.63% ( 2.4) |
Coventry City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.32% ( -0.78) | 19.69% ( 0.77) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.32% ( -1.27) | 51.68% ( 1.27) |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.2% ( -1.87) | 28.8% ( 1.86) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.35% ( -2.38) | 64.65% ( 2.38) |
Score Analysis |
Coventry City | Draw | Derby County |
2-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 9.21% ( 0.73) 2-0 @ 7.49% ( 0.42) 3-1 @ 5.05% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 4.06% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.23) 4-1 @ 2.05% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.13) Other @ 3.02% Total : 46.27% | 1-1 @ 11.47% ( 0.35) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.28) 0-0 @ 5.67% ( 0.58) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.17) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.42% | 1-2 @ 7.14% ( -0.16) 0-1 @ 7.06% ( 0.38) 0-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.23) 2-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.25) 0-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.6% Total : 29.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 9 | 16 | 38 |
2 | Burnley | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 23 | 6 | 17 | 36 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 35 |
4 | Sunderland | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 33 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 30 |
6 | Watford | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 30 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 18 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 28 |
8 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 28 |
9 | Norwich CityNorwich | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 27 | 8 | 25 |
10 | Millwall | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 25 |
11 | Bristol City | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 25 |
12 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 25 |
13 | Swansea CitySwansea | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 23 |
14 | Stoke CityStoke | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Derby CountyDerby | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 20 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 18 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 18 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 18 |
20 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 38 | -20 | 17 |
22 | Hull City | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 15 |
24 | Portsmouth | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 13 |
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