MX23RW : Tuesday, December 17 17:14:47| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Championship | Gameweek 16
Nov 23, 2024 at 3pm UK
Deepdale
Derby logo

Preston
1 - 1
Derby

Greenwood (23')
Greenwood (62'), McCann (87')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Yates (29')
Thompson (58'), Harness (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Preston North End and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portsmouth 3-1 Preston
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Derby 1-1 Plymouth
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Preston North End 2-1 Derby County

Given a fortnight to reflect on their poor run of form, Preston should be raring to get back into second-tier action and put Derby to the sword at Deepdale. The Rams have struggled on the road so far in 2024-25, so we cannot envisage the newly-promoted side earning anything tangible for their efforts in Lancashire this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 39.47%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 1-0 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
Preston North EndDrawDerby County
33.8% (0.308 0.31) 26.72% (0.13 0.13) 39.47% (-0.439 -0.44)
Both teams to score 51.53% (-0.342 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.53% (-0.467 -0.47)53.46% (0.467 0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.01% (-0.396 -0.4)74.99% (0.396 0.4)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.12% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)29.88% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.02% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)65.97% (0.038999999999987 0.04)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.49% (-0.455 -0.45)26.5% (0.454 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.3% (-0.608 -0.61)61.7% (0.609 0.61)
Score Analysis
    Preston North End 33.8%
    Derby County 39.47%
    Draw 26.72%
Preston North EndDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 9.57% (0.165 0.17)
2-1 @ 7.67% (0.028 0.03)
2-0 @ 5.78% (0.095 0.09)
3-1 @ 3.09% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.33% (0.036 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.05% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-1 @ 0.93% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 33.8%
1-1 @ 12.7% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 7.92% (0.144 0.14)
2-2 @ 5.09% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.72%
0-1 @ 10.51% (0.06 0.06)
1-2 @ 8.43% (-0.071000000000002 -0.07)
0-2 @ 6.98% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.73% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-3 @ 3.09% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.26% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.24% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.03% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 39.47%

How you voted: Preston vs Derby

Preston North End
51.4%
Draw
24.3%
Derby County
24.3%
37
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 40
Derby
1-0
Preston
Morrison (80')
Davies (66'), Knight (84')
Bird (55')

Whiteman (61'), Johnson (87')
Lindsay (32')
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 12
Preston
0-0
Derby
Johnson (5'), Storey (62')
Apr 20, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 43
Preston
3-0
Derby
Whiteman (18'), Evans (73'), Ledson (87')

Byrne (86')
Dec 26, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 21
Derby
0-1
Preston

Waghorn (20')
Browne (90+5')
Fisher (43')
Sep 15, 2020 6.30pm
Second Round
Derby
1-2
Preston
Knight (51')
Buchanan (27'), Shinnie (65'), Evans (88')
te Wierik (55')
Barkhuizen (79'), Johnson (90+2' pen.)
Huntington (59'), Browne (73'), Fisher (75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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