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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Derby County win with a probability of 39.91%. A win for Preston North End has a probability of 33.51% and a draw has a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Preston North End win is 1-0 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.64%).
Result | ||
Preston North End | Draw | Derby County |
33.51% ( 0.24) | 26.59% ( -0.18) | 39.91% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 51.9% ( 0.63) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.03% ( 0.78) | 52.96% ( -0.78) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.43% ( 0.66) | 74.56% ( -0.66) |
Preston North End Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.18% ( 0.55) | 29.82% ( -0.55) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.1% ( 0.66) | 65.9% ( -0.66) |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.96% ( 0.33) | 26.04% ( -0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.92% ( 0.44) | 61.07% ( -0.44) |
Score Analysis |
Preston North End | Draw | Derby County |
1-0 @ 9.4% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 7.65% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 5.68% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.08% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 2.29% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.08% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.4% Total : 33.51% | 1-1 @ 12.64% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 7.77% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.58% | 0-1 @ 10.44% ( -0.23) 1-2 @ 8.51% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 7.03% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 3.82% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 3.15% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.3% Total : 39.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
4 | Burnley | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 27 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Watford | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 24 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 22 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
14 | Norwich CityNorwich | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 18 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 17 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 16 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
19 | Hull City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 15 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
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