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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 42.83%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.72%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 1-2 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hull City | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
42.83% ( 0) | 24.68% | 32.5% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 57.96% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.01% ( -0.01) | 44.99% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.66% ( -0.01) | 67.34% ( 0.01) |
Hull City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.92% ( -0.01) | 21.08% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.11% ( -0.01) | 53.89% ( 0) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.44% ( -0.01) | 26.56% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.23% ( -0.01) | 61.77% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Hull City | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
2-1 @ 9% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.72% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.79% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.67% 3-0 @ 3.52% 3-2 @ 3.1% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.82% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.37% 4-2 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.65% Total : 42.83% | 1-1 @ 11.55% 2-2 @ 5.96% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.6% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.67% | 1-2 @ 7.66% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.42% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.92% 1-3 @ 3.39% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.64% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.17% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 3.18% Total : 32.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 48 | 19 | 29 | 53 |
2 | Burnley | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 52 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 17 | 19 | 52 |
4 | Sunderland | 25 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 38 | 22 | 16 | 47 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 41 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 26 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 40 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 39 |
8 | Bristol City | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 37 |
9 | Watford | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 37 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 37 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 36 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 34 |
13 | Millwall | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 30 |
14 | Preston North EndPreston | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 30 |
15 | Coventry CityCoventry | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 29 |
16 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 29 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 28 |
18 | Derby CountyDerby | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 27 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 27 |
20 | Luton TownLuton | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 26 | 42 | -16 | 25 |
21 | Portsmouth | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 23 |
22 | Hull City | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 23 |
23 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 25 | 40 | -15 | 23 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 25 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 24 | 53 | -29 | 20 |
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