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Championship | Gameweek 42
Apr 15, 2023 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
Bristol City

Watford
2 - 0
Bristol City

Cornick (6' og.), Pedro (54')
Porteous (61')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Tanner (27'), James (84'), Mehmeti (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Watford and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Coventry 2-2 Watford
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 2-2 Middlesbrough
Monday, April 10 at 5.30pm in Championship

We said: Watford 2-1 Bristol City

Both clubs have to go all out for victory in this contest, particularly the visitors. That could lead to greater opportunities for Watford on the counter, who we are backing to edge this fixture with a decisive goal in the latter stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 51.42%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 23.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (7.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.

Result
WatfordDrawBristol City
51.42% (0.075999999999993 0.08) 25.26% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 23.32% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Both teams to score 49.32% (-0.012 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.85% (0.015999999999998 0.02)53.14% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.28% (0.014000000000003 0.01)74.72% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.32% (0.037999999999997 0.04)20.68% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.73% (0.061 0.06)53.27% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.18% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)37.82% (0.044999999999995 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.41% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)74.59% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Watford 51.41%
    Bristol City 23.32%
    Draw 25.25%
WatfordDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 12.32% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.71% (0.016 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.45% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.1% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.96% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.41%
4-0 @ 2.01% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.96% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 51.41%
1-1 @ 11.98% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.82% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 4.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 25.25%
0-1 @ 7.6% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.83% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.7% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.89% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.2% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 23.32%

How you voted: Watford vs Bristol City

Watford
Draw
Bristol City
Watford
75.0%
Draw
0.0%
Bristol City
25.0%
20
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Feb 13, 2021 3pm
Watford
6-0
Bristol City
Moore (2' og.), Sarr (15', 55'), Hughes (30'), Sema (35'), Zinckernagel (90')
Chalobah (17'), Pedro (81')

Moore (7'), Diedhiou (47'), Palmer (81')
Nov 25, 2020 7.45pm
Jan 6, 2018 3pm
Third Round
Watford
3-0
Bristol City
Carrillo (37'), Deeney (57'), Capoue (85')
Kabasele (30')
Aug 22, 2017 7.45pm
Second Round
Watford
2-3
Bristol City
Capoue (47'), Mariappa (95')
Capoue (35'), Holebas (52')
Holebas (88')
Hinds (59'), Reid (67'), Eliasson (93')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds382311476255180
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd38257653282580
3Burnley382115252114178
4Sunderland381912755371869
5Coventry CityCoventry38178135548759
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom381318748341457
7Bristol City38141594941857
8Middlesbrough38159145748954
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn38157164240252
10Watford38157164751-452
11Millwall381312133739-251
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds38149155359-651
13Norwich CityNorwich381213136054649
14Preston North EndPreston381017113944-547
15Queens Park RangersQPR381112154450-645
16Swansea CitySwansea38128183849-1144
17Portsmouth38119184661-1542
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd381012163955-1642
19Hull City381011173947-841
20Stoke CityStoke38912173751-1439
21Cardiff CityCardiff38912174262-2039
22Derby CountyDerby38108204051-1138
23Luton TownLuton3898213460-2635
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth38712194077-3733


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