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Championship | Gameweek 42
Apr 15, 2023 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
Bristol City

Watford
2 - 0
Bristol City

Cornick (6' og.), Pedro (54')
Porteous (61')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Tanner (27'), James (84'), Mehmeti (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Watford and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Coventry 2-2 Watford
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 2-2 Middlesbrough
Monday, April 10 at 5.30pm in Championship

We said: Watford 2-1 Bristol City

Both clubs have to go all out for victory in this contest, particularly the visitors. That could lead to greater opportunities for Watford on the counter, who we are backing to edge this fixture with a decisive goal in the latter stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 51.42%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 23.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (7.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.

Result
WatfordDrawBristol City
51.42% (0.075999999999993 0.08) 25.26% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 23.32% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Both teams to score 49.32% (-0.012 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.85% (0.015999999999998 0.02)53.14% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.28% (0.014000000000003 0.01)74.72% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.32% (0.037999999999997 0.04)20.68% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.73% (0.061 0.06)53.27% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.18% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)37.82% (0.044999999999995 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.41% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)74.59% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Watford 51.41%
    Bristol City 23.32%
    Draw 25.25%
WatfordDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 12.32% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.71% (0.016 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.45% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.1% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.96% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.41%
4-0 @ 2.01% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.96% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 51.41%
1-1 @ 11.98% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.82% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 4.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 25.25%
0-1 @ 7.6% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.83% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.7% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.89% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.2% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 23.32%

How you voted: Watford vs Bristol City

Watford
75.0%
Draw
0.0%
Bristol City
25.0%
20
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Feb 13, 2021 3pm
Watford
6-0
Bristol City
Moore (2' og.), Sarr (15', 55'), Hughes (30'), Sema (35'), Zinckernagel (90')
Chalobah (17'), Pedro (81')

Moore (7'), Diedhiou (47'), Palmer (81')
Nov 25, 2020 7.45pm
Jan 6, 2018 3pm
Third Round
Watford
3-0
Bristol City
Carrillo (37'), Deeney (57'), Capoue (85')
Kabasele (30')
Aug 22, 2017 7.45pm
Second Round
Watford
2-3
Bristol City
Capoue (47'), Mariappa (95')
Capoue (35'), Holebas (52')
Holebas (88')
Hinds (59'), Reid (67'), Eliasson (93')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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