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Championship | Gameweek 42
Apr 15, 2023 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
Bristol City

Watford
2 - 0
Bristol City

Cornick (6' og.), Pedro (54')
Porteous (61')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Tanner (27'), James (84'), Mehmeti (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Watford and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Coventry 2-2 Watford
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 2-2 Middlesbrough
Monday, April 10 at 5.30pm in Championship

We said: Watford 2-1 Bristol City

Both clubs have to go all out for victory in this contest, particularly the visitors. That could lead to greater opportunities for Watford on the counter, who we are backing to edge this fixture with a decisive goal in the latter stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 51.42%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 23.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (7.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.

Result
WatfordDrawBristol City
51.42% (0.075999999999993 0.08) 25.26% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 23.32% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Both teams to score 49.32% (-0.012 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.85% (0.015999999999998 0.02)53.14% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.28% (0.014000000000003 0.01)74.72% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.32% (0.037999999999997 0.04)20.68% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.73% (0.061 0.06)53.27% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.18% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)37.82% (0.044999999999995 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.41% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)74.59% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Watford 51.41%
    Bristol City 23.32%
    Draw 25.25%
WatfordDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 12.32% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.71% (0.016 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.45% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.1% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.96% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.41%
4-0 @ 2.01% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.96% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 51.41%
1-1 @ 11.98% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.82% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 4.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 25.25%
0-1 @ 7.6% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.83% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.7% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.89% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.2% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 23.32%

How you voted: Watford vs Bristol City

Watford
75.0%
Draw
0.0%
Bristol City
25.0%
20
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Feb 13, 2021 3pm
Watford
6-0
Bristol City
Moore (2' og.), Sarr (15', 55'), Hughes (30'), Sema (35'), Zinckernagel (90')
Chalobah (17'), Pedro (81')

Moore (7'), Diedhiou (47'), Palmer (81')
Nov 25, 2020 7.45pm
Jan 6, 2018 3pm
Third Round
Watford
3-0
Bristol City
Carrillo (37'), Deeney (57'), Capoue (85')
Kabasele (30')
Aug 22, 2017 7.45pm
Second Round
Watford
2-3
Bristol City
Capoue (47'), Mariappa (95')
Capoue (35'), Holebas (52')
Holebas (88')
Hinds (59'), Reid (67'), Eliasson (93')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Vikings
9-27
Rams
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Watford26115103637-138
9Bristol City2691073330337
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2678112941-1229
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Cardiff CityCardiff2659122641-1524
22Portsmouth2458113041-1123
23Hull City2658132536-1123
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2649132554-2921


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