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Championship | Gameweek 29
Feb 20, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
Hull logo

Southampton
1 - 2
Hull City

Aribo (88')
Walker-Peters (23')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Zaroury (11'), Carvalho (36')
Jones (78'), Jacob (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Southampton and Hull City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Southampton 3-1 Hull City

Southampton were controlled in their success over West Brom last time out, and we are expecting more of the same from the Saints at St Mary's in this one. Hull made hard work of trips to Rotherham and Huddersfield in the past week, and we cannot envisage the Tigers recording three-straight away maximums. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 63.29%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Hull City had a probability of 17.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.91%) and 1-0 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.7%), while for a Hull City win it was 1-2 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
SouthamptonDrawHull City
63.29% (-2.148 -2.15) 19.31% (0.69 0.69) 17.39% (1.454 1.45)
Both teams to score 59.58% (0.76 0.76)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.93% (-0.52199999999999 -0.52)35.06% (0.519 0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.93% (-0.585 -0.59)57.06% (0.581 0.58)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.42% (-0.678 -0.68)10.58% (0.676 0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.66% (-1.544 -1.54)34.33% (1.54 1.54)
Hull City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.63% (1.345 1.35)33.37% (-1.348 -1.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30% (1.45 1.45)69.99% (-1.454 -1.45)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 63.29%
    Hull City 17.39%
    Draw 19.32%
SouthamptonDrawHull City
2-1 @ 9.78% (0.051 0.05)
2-0 @ 8.91% (-0.285 -0.29)
1-0 @ 7.93% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 7.32% (-0.176 -0.18)
3-0 @ 6.67% (-0.416 -0.42)
4-1 @ 4.11% (-0.223 -0.22)
3-2 @ 4.02% (0.052 0.05)
4-0 @ 3.75% (-0.35 -0.35)
4-2 @ 2.26% (-0.036 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.85% (-0.157 -0.16)
5-0 @ 1.68% (-0.212 -0.21)
5-2 @ 1.01% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 63.29%
1-1 @ 8.7% (0.293 0.29)
2-2 @ 5.36% (0.22 0.22)
0-0 @ 3.53% (0.092 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.47% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 19.32%
1-2 @ 4.78% (0.327 0.33)
0-1 @ 3.87% (0.237 0.24)
0-2 @ 2.13% (0.202 0.2)
2-3 @ 1.96% (0.148 0.15)
1-3 @ 1.75% (0.178 0.18)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 17.39%

How you voted: Southampton vs Hull City

Southampton
77.3%
Draw
10.0%
Hull City
12.7%
110
Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 12
Hull City
1-2
Southampton
Delap (25')
Philogene-Bidace (45+1'), Christie (46'), Morton (52'), Sayyadmanesh (90+5')
Smallbone (20'), Fraser (90+5')
Manning (39'), Alcaraz (48'), Fraser (90+3')
Nov 6, 2016 2.15pm
Hull City
2-1
Southampton
Snodgrass (61'), Dawson (63')
Austin (6' pen.)
Tadic (29'), Clasie (57'), Bertrand (72'), Yoshida (83'), Romeu (91')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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