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Championship | Gameweek 29
Feb 20, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
Hull logo

Southampton
1 - 2
Hull City

Aribo (88')
Walker-Peters (23')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Zaroury (11'), Carvalho (36')
Jones (78'), Jacob (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Southampton and Hull City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Southampton 3-1 Hull City

Southampton were controlled in their success over West Brom last time out, and we are expecting more of the same from the Saints at St Mary's in this one. Hull made hard work of trips to Rotherham and Huddersfield in the past week, and we cannot envisage the Tigers recording three-straight away maximums. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 63.29%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Hull City had a probability of 17.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.91%) and 1-0 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.7%), while for a Hull City win it was 1-2 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
SouthamptonDrawHull City
63.29% (-2.148 -2.15) 19.31% (0.69 0.69) 17.39% (1.454 1.45)
Both teams to score 59.58% (0.76 0.76)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.93% (-0.52199999999999 -0.52)35.06% (0.519 0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.93% (-0.585 -0.59)57.06% (0.581 0.58)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.42% (-0.678 -0.68)10.58% (0.676 0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.66% (-1.544 -1.54)34.33% (1.54 1.54)
Hull City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.63% (1.345 1.35)33.37% (-1.348 -1.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30% (1.45 1.45)69.99% (-1.454 -1.45)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 63.29%
    Hull City 17.39%
    Draw 19.32%
SouthamptonDrawHull City
2-1 @ 9.78% (0.051 0.05)
2-0 @ 8.91% (-0.285 -0.29)
1-0 @ 7.93% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 7.32% (-0.176 -0.18)
3-0 @ 6.67% (-0.416 -0.42)
4-1 @ 4.11% (-0.223 -0.22)
3-2 @ 4.02% (0.052 0.05)
4-0 @ 3.75% (-0.35 -0.35)
4-2 @ 2.26% (-0.036 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.85% (-0.157 -0.16)
5-0 @ 1.68% (-0.212 -0.21)
5-2 @ 1.01% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 63.29%
1-1 @ 8.7% (0.293 0.29)
2-2 @ 5.36% (0.22 0.22)
0-0 @ 3.53% (0.092 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.47% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 19.32%
1-2 @ 4.78% (0.327 0.33)
0-1 @ 3.87% (0.237 0.24)
0-2 @ 2.13% (0.202 0.2)
2-3 @ 1.96% (0.148 0.15)
1-3 @ 1.75% (0.178 0.18)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 17.39%

How you voted: Southampton vs Hull City

Southampton
77.3%
Draw
10.0%
Hull City
12.7%
110
Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 12
Hull City
1-2
Southampton
Delap (25')
Philogene-Bidace (45+1'), Christie (46'), Morton (52'), Sayyadmanesh (90+5')
Smallbone (20'), Fraser (90+5')
Manning (39'), Alcaraz (48'), Fraser (90+3')
Nov 6, 2016 2.15pm
Hull City
2-1
Southampton
Snodgrass (61'), Dawson (63')
Austin (6' pen.)
Tadic (29'), Clasie (57'), Bertrand (72'), Yoshida (83'), Romeu (91')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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