Championship | Gameweek 37
Mar 9, 2024 at 3pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
Southampton4 - 2Sunderland
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Birmingham 3-4 Southampton
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 0-1 Leicester
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in Championship
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in Championship
We said: Southampton 3-1 Sunderland
Sunderland have reached a stage where they can probably throw caution to the wind and go all out for three points. However, Southampton may benefit from the unforeseen midweek break and could make relatively light work of their opponents who are devoid of confidence. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 54.37%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 23.44% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.58%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 1-2 (6.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Southampton | Draw | Sunderland |
54.37% ( -0.01) | 22.19% ( 0.01) | 23.44% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 59.34% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
