Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 72.92%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 10.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.85%) and 3-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.04%), while for a Preston North End win it was 0-1 (3.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.