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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 27
Jan 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
West Brom logo

Luton
2 - 3
West Brom

Morris (7'), Adebayo (10')
Ruddock (43'), Campbell (88'), Bree (90+6')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Dike (39'), Molumby (65'), Townsend (67')
Molumby (62'), Dike (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Luton Town and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luton 1-1 Wigan
Saturday, January 7 at 5.30pm in FA Cup

We said: Luton Town 1-2 West Bromwich Albion

This is arguably the most attractive match of the second tier this weekend, and we expect strong performances to boot. However, the Baggies may just about edge this contest, taking advantage of more inconsistency from Luton who have just three home wins all season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 32.73% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that West Bromwich Albion would win this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawWest Bromwich Albion
40.59% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01) 26.68% (0.0019999999999989 0) 32.73% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 51.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.48% (0.00099999999999767 0)53.52% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.96% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)75.04% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.07% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)25.93% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.07% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)60.93% (0.012 0.01)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.39% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)30.61% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.15% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)66.85% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 40.59%
    West Bromwich Albion 32.73%
    Draw 26.68%
Luton TownDrawWest Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 10.71%
2-1 @ 8.56% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.23% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 3.85% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.25% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.28%
4-1 @ 1.3% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.1% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 40.59%
1-1 @ 12.68%
0-0 @ 7.94% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.07%
Other @ 1%
Total : 26.68%
0-1 @ 9.4% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-2 @ 7.51% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 5.56% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.96% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 2.2% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 32.73%

How you voted: Luton vs West Brom

Luton Town
35.7%
Draw
23.8%
West Bromwich Albion
40.5%
42
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Luton
2-0
West Brom
Jerome (55'), Campbell (83')
Bell (36'), Campbell (86')

Ajayi (29'), Molumby (84'), Bartley (84')
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
West Brom
3-2
Luton
Naismith (5' og.), Robinson (36'), Grant (66')
Mowatt (29'), Zohore (90+4')
Cornick (70'), Ruddock (90+7')
Campbell (15'), Osho (74')
Aug 17, 2019 3pm
Luton
1-2
West Brom
Cornick (15')
Potts (65'), Shinnie (89')
Diangana (48', 51')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920


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