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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 24
Dec 26, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Norwich logo

Luton
2 - 1
Norwich

Campbell (61'), Woodrow (90')
Osho (40'), Lockyer (48')
Osho (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pukki (69')
Gibbs (26')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Middlesbrough 2-1 Luton
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 0-2 Blackburn
Saturday, December 17 at 5.30pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 1-2 Norwich City

With both managers facing a different kind of pressure in this contest, it remains to be seen how they will approach such a match. Norwich are the favourites, however, and we feel that the Canaries will finish strongly to record an important three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 42.78%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 30.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 0-1 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawNorwich City
42.78% (0.171 0.17) 26.61% (-0.156 -0.16) 30.61% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 50.85% (0.469 0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.14% (0.602 0.6)53.86% (-0.603 -0.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.68% (0.505 0.5)75.32% (-0.50500000000001 -0.51)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.06% (0.36000000000001 0.36)24.94% (-0.361 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.43% (0.496 0.5)59.57% (-0.496 -0.5)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.75% (0.29900000000001 0.3)32.25% (-0.301 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.25% (0.336 0.34)68.75% (-0.33799999999999 -0.34)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 42.78%
    Norwich City 30.61%
    Draw 26.61%
Luton TownDrawNorwich City
1-0 @ 11.16% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-1 @ 8.78% (0.046999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 7.76% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.06% (0.063 0.06)
3-0 @ 3.59% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.3% (0.054 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.41% (0.037 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.25% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 42.78%
1-1 @ 12.64% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 8.04% (-0.192 -0.19)
2-2 @ 4.97% (0.067 0.07)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.61%
0-1 @ 9.1% (-0.141 -0.14)
1-2 @ 7.15% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.15% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.7% (0.031 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.94% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.87% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 30.61%

How you voted: Luton vs Norwich

Luton Town
38.9%
Draw
27.8%
Norwich City
33.3%
18
Head to Head
Oct 18, 2022 7.45pm
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Dec 2, 2020 7.45pm
Luton
3-1
Norwich
Moncur (15'), Pearson (22'), Collins (47' pen.)
Shea (18')
Buendia (19' pen.)
Placheta (33'), Zimmermann (85')
Sep 5, 2020 3pm
First Round
Luton
3-1
Norwich
Collins (79' pen., 83', 90+5')
Rea (90+4')
Dowell (81')
McCallum (70')
Jul 27, 2019 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Luton
1-5
Norwich
Potts (33')
Stiepermann (4'), Drmic (7', 14', 35'), Roberts (56')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920


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