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Championship | Gameweek 23
Dec 18, 2021 at 12.30pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Bournemouth logo

Middlesbrough
1 - 0
Bournemouth

Sporar (53' pen.)
McNair (66'), Taylor (77'), Jones (82'), Hernandez (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Cahill (43'), Billing (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Bournemouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Middlesbrough 1-1 Bournemouth

There will be those who feel that Middlesbrough are the marginal favourites for this contest, and it is difficult to argue against that. Nevertheless, Bournemouth will click back into gear at some stage, and they could be full value for a share of the spoils in the North-East. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 40.11%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 32.61% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 1-0 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawBournemouth
32.61%27.28%40.11%
Both teams to score 49.53%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.12%55.88%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23%76.99%
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.11%31.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.67%68.33%
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.72%27.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.28%62.72%
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 32.61%
    Bournemouth 40.11%
    Draw 27.27%
MiddlesbroughDrawBournemouth
1-0 @ 9.94%
2-1 @ 7.38%
2-0 @ 5.68%
3-1 @ 2.81%
3-0 @ 2.17%
3-2 @ 1.83%
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 32.61%
1-1 @ 12.91%
0-0 @ 8.7%
2-2 @ 4.79%
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 27.27%
0-1 @ 11.3%
1-2 @ 8.39%
0-2 @ 7.34%
1-3 @ 3.63%
0-3 @ 3.18%
2-3 @ 2.08%
1-4 @ 1.18%
0-4 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 40.11%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Bournemouth

Middlesbrough
31.7%
Draw
28.6%
Bournemouth
39.7%
63
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 39
Bournemouth
3-1
Middlesbrough
Billing (14'), Lerma (66'), Solanke (83')
Billing (59'), Smith (79')
Watmore (63')
McNair (69'), Bola (90+1')
Sep 19, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 2
Middlesbrough
1-1
Bournemouth
Browne (81')
Saville (30')
Solanke (38')
Mepham (51'), Stacey (63')
Oct 24, 2017 7.45pm
Fourth Round
Bournemouth
3-1
Middlesbrough
Simpson (49'), Wilson (75' pen.), Afobe (82')
Tavernier (56')
Fry (39')
Apr 22, 2017 3pm
Bournemouth
4-0
Middlesbrough
King (2'), Afobe (16'), Pugh (65'), Daniels (70')

Ramirez (14'), Friend (58'), Ayala (67')
Ramirez (20')
Oct 29, 2016 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920


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