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Championship | Gameweek 21
Dec 4, 2021 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Swansea logo

Middlesbrough
1 - 0
Swansea

Jones (26')
McNair (70')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Paterson (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Middlesbrough 1-1 Swansea City

Given the inconsistency of the teams above them, both sides know the importance of collecting three points on Saturday. Nevertheless, with neither of these clubs particularly free-scoring, an uneventful draw appears to be the most likely outcome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 40.28%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 32.35% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Middlesbrough in this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawSwansea City
40.28%27.37%32.35%
Both teams to score 49.19%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.72%56.28%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.69%77.32%
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.62%27.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.16%62.84%
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.73%32.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.23%68.77%
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 40.28%
    Swansea City 32.35%
    Draw 27.36%
MiddlesbroughDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 11.44%
2-1 @ 8.39%
2-0 @ 7.41%
3-1 @ 3.62%
3-0 @ 3.2%
3-2 @ 2.05%
4-1 @ 1.17%
4-0 @ 1.04%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 40.28%
1-1 @ 12.94%
0-0 @ 8.83%
2-2 @ 4.74%
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 27.36%
0-1 @ 9.99%
1-2 @ 7.32%
0-2 @ 5.65%
1-3 @ 2.76%
0-3 @ 2.13%
2-3 @ 1.79%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 32.35%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Swansea

Middlesbrough
51.2%
Draw
23.3%
Swansea City
25.6%
43
Head to Head
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 35
Swansea
2-1
Middlesbrough
Ayew (40', 90+7' pen.)
Manning (64'), Guehi (71')
Morsy (90+1')
Bolasie (39'), Saville (47'), Morsy (87'), Howson (90+5')
Dec 2, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 15
Middlesbrough
2-1
Swansea
Watmore (26', 67')
Johnson (45'), Akpom (57')
Dhanda (78')
Fulton (45+1'), Grimes (85')
Jun 20, 2020 12.30pm
Dec 14, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 22
Swansea
3-1
Middlesbrough
Ayew (22' pen., 71'), Surridge (73')
Cabango (48'), Dhanda (54')
Tavernier (59')
Saville (29'), Browne (52')
Browne (63'), McNair (77')
Apr 6, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 40
Swansea
3-1
Middlesbrough
Grimes (33' pen.), Routledge (38'), Roberts (71')
Grimes (21')
Saville (81')
Howson (93')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland129122391428
2Burnley126511751223
3Leeds UnitedLeeds126511981123
4Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd12732146822
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom12552137620
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn125431612419
7Watford126151619-319
8Norwich CityNorwich124622216618
9Middlesbrough125341412218
10Millwall124441512316
11Bristol City123721416-216
12Derby CountyDerby124351515015
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds124351318-515
14Oxford UnitedOxford Utd123541515014
15Hull City123541416-214
16Preston North EndPreston123541317-414
17Swansea CitySwansea1234588013
18Coventry CityCoventry123361417-312
19Stoke CityStoke123361317-412
20Cardiff CityCardiff123361118-712
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth123361322-912
22Luton TownLuton123271420-611
23Queens Park RangersQPR121651119-89
24Portsmouth121561225-138


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