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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 44.85%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 27.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.92%) and 2-1 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.97%), while for a Preston North End win it was 0-1 (9.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.
Result | ||
Middlesbrough | Draw | Preston North End |
44.85% | 27.98% | 27.17% |
Both teams to score 45.07% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.67% | 60.33% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.51% | 80.49% |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.16% | 26.83% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.86% | 62.13% |
Preston North End Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.6% | 38.39% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.85% | 75.15% |
Score Analysis |
Middlesbrough | Draw | Preston North End |
1-0 @ 13.55% 2-0 @ 8.92% 2-1 @ 8.53% 3-0 @ 3.91% 3-1 @ 3.74% 3-2 @ 1.79% 4-0 @ 1.29% 4-1 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.89% Total : 44.85% | 1-1 @ 12.97% 0-0 @ 10.3% 2-2 @ 4.08% Other @ 0.62% Total : 27.97% | 0-1 @ 9.86% 1-2 @ 6.21% 0-2 @ 4.72% 1-3 @ 1.98% 0-3 @ 1.51% 2-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 1.58% Total : 27.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
2 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
3 | Burnley | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 30 |
4 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
7 | Watford | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
11 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Stoke CityStoke | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 20 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 19 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 16 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
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